AC Milan vs Inter Prediction

I'm backing Over 2.5 goals in this Milan derby on 31 October 2026 at 22:45. Inter arrive as clear favorites, but I see the attacking patterns of both teams pointing toward a high-scoring game despite some key absences.

Milan scored in all ten of their last Serie A matches, averaging 3.2 goals across those games. They lost 4-2 to Bologna on 28 October but still found the net twice. Inter have scored at least twice in nine of their last ten Serie A outings, with an expected goals average of 2.73. I expect both teams to contribute goals here, even with Lautaro Martínez out for Inter and Adrien Rabbiò unavailable for Milan.

Form and H2H

Inter have not lost in their last ten Serie A matches and won 2-0 away at Venice on 28 October. Milan are less consistent, with three defeats in their last ten games across all competitions, though they beat Udinese 2-0 on 25 October before the Bologna loss.

I note that eight of Inter's last ten Serie A matches saw Over 2.5 goals land. Milan's recent matches have regularly exceeded 1.5 goals in all competitions. The head-to-head record between these teams shows mixed results, but I'm focused on the current form trends rather than historical patterns. Both teams have demonstrated they can score multiple goals in a single match.

Best bet

I'm taking Over 2.5 at 1.7 with 1xBet. The price reflects genuine value given Milan's consistent goal-scoring run and Inter's attacking output this season. Even with Martínez and Rabbiò sidelined, I expect the supporting cast to deliver enough chances for three goals across 90 minutes.

Milan average 1.80 goals for and 1.50 against in their last ten matches. Inter average 2.40 goals for and 1.30 against. The math favors goals. I'm comfortable at 1.7 rather than chasing shorter prices on the 1X2 market, where Inter sit at 2.1 for the away win.

Odds to watch

Inter's away win trades at 2.1, with Milan's home win at 3.62 and the draw at 3.79. Both Teams Score pays 1.53 at 1xBet, which I find attractive given the attacking momentum both sides carry into this fixture. Under 2.5 sits at 2.35 if you want to fade my view.

The Asian Handicap at -0.25 favors Milan at 2.98 for the home side, suggesting the market sees this as closer than the 1X2 odds imply. I'm sticking with Over 2.5 as my primary play at 1.7.