I'm backing Sporting Alcazar to win this Copa del Rey first-round tie on 27 October 2026 at 23:00. The hosts have won their last two matches and conceded just one goal across their last three outings, which tells me their defensive shape is locked in. Malaga arrive without a win in two games, most recently drawing 1-1 with Alaves after a 2-5 home hammering from Real Sociedad. I see a team in real trouble: they sit bottom of La Liga with 5 points and haven't won a single league match all season. In a cup tie, home advantage and defensive solidity matter more than squad pedigree, and Alcazar have both.
Copa del Rey · Round of 128
Alcazar vs Malaga Prediction
Alcazar vs Malaga Odds
Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.
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1X2 prediction for Alcazar vs Malaga
Date and time 27 October 2026 at 20:00
Competitive fixture
Place a bet on this matchAlcazar vs Malaga Odds statistic
Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.
AlcazarLast matches
MalagaHead to Head Alcazar — Malaga
In the last 1 meetings, Malaga hold the edge — 0 wins for Alcazar, 1 for Malaga, 0 draws.
0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
- Copa del Rey · 27 Oct 2026Alcazar0:3Malaga
Betting profits Alcazar vs Malaga
Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.
Alcazar
No profit history stored for this side yet.
Malaga
| Market | Outcome | P/L | Wins | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | Win | -13.00 | 0 | 13 |
| Match Winner | Draw | +10.57 | 7 | 13 |
| Match Winner | Lose | -1.37 | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2 | -0.52 | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2 | -2.18 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 | -3.27 | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2.5 | +0.03 | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3 | -2.34 | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3 | -1.67 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3.5 | +1.83 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 | -3.05 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 | -0.32 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1.5 | -0.59 | 2 | 7 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4 | -1.00 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4 | +0.28 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1 | +0.15 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1 | -1.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4.5 | -1.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4.5 | +0.60 | 1 | 1 |
Match statistics
In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.
Key events
- 34'Yellow card Arafat Al HajAlcazar
- 43'Substitution B. Ferraris (→ Arafat Al Haj)Alcazar
- 46'Substitution J. Cajuste (→ H. Abaida)Malaga
- 46'Substitution C. Dotor (→ Chupe)Malaga
- 46'Substitution C. Dotor (→ Chupe)Malaga
- 54'Yellow cardMalaga
- 56'Substitution J. Berrocal (→ D. Lorenzo)Malaga
- 61'Yellow cardAlcazar
- 70'Yellow cardAlcazar
- 71'GoalMalaga
- 74'Yellow cardMalaga
- 75'Substitution Quini (→ J. Soriano)Alcazar
- 75'SubstitutionAlcazar
- 75'Substitution E. Avila (→ R. Moreno)Alcazar
- 79'Red cardAlcazar
- 80'GoalMalaga
- 82'Substitution J. Fernandez (→ C. Puga)Malaga
- 88'GoalMalaga
Last matches Alcazar
In the last 2 matches Alcazar have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 50% of those games.
100% W — 20% D — 00% L — 0
- WCopa del Rey · 04 Oct 2026Alcazar1:0
Talayuela - WCopa del Rey · 27 Sept 2026Talayuela1:2Alcazar
Statistics for the last 2 games
- Matches
- 2
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 0
- Goals / game
- 1.5
- Over 1.5
- 50%
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 50%
Last matches Malaga
Malaga have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
- DLa Liga · 23 Oct 2026
Alaves1:1Malaga - LLa Liga · 18 Oct 2026Malaga2:5
Real Sociedad - DLa Liga · 09 Oct 2026Malaga1:1
Espanyol - LLa Liga · 20 Sept 2026
Getafe1:0Malaga - LLa Liga · 17 Sept 2026Malaga1:3
Villarreal
Statistics for the last 5 games
- Matches
- 5
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 3
- Goals / game
- 1.0
- Over 1.5
- 80%
- Over 2.5
- 40%
- BTTS
- 80%
Alcazar vs Malaga Standings
League table is not available for this competition snapshot yet.
Comparative team statistics
Season statistic Alcazar vs Malaga
Alcazar
- Matches played 2
- Won home / away 1 / 1
- Lost home / away 0 / 0
- Goals scored 3 (1.5)
- Goals conceded 1 (0.5)
- Clean sheets 1
- Failed to score 0
Malaga
- Matches played 5
- Won home / away 0 / 0
- Lost home / away 2 / 1
- Goals scored 5 (1.0)
- Goals conceded 11 (2.2)
- Clean sheets 0
- Failed to score 1
Match details
- Status Finished
Lineups
Injuries and suspensions
Alcazar
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
Malaga
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
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