Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés Prediction

I'm backing Logroñés to win this Copa del Rey tie on 10 November 2026 at 22:00. Amorebieta host from the Segunda Federación, a tier below their visitors, and while the Basque club have built a solid season with promotion hopes, I see a clear class gap here. Logroñés compete in the Primera Federación and have shown real conviction on the road, which is where this match will be decided.

Amorebieta's home form looks tidy on paper—two straight wins, one goal conceded in each—but I'm not convinced it travels to this level of opposition. They lost 2-1 to Basconia on 7 November and snapped a three-game winning streak. I respect their consistency, but Logroñés have the pedigree and the away record to trouble them.

Form and H2H

I've studied Amorebieta's last ten matches: five wins, one draw, four losses, averaging 1.20 goals for and 1.00 against. They're a functional side, but those numbers don't scream dominance. Their recent form shows four wins and two defeats across six games with an average of 1.33 goals per match, yet both teams scored in four of those six fixtures. I see vulnerability in their setup.

Logroñés come in stronger from my perspective. Over their last ten, they've posted six wins, two draws, two losses, averaging 2.00 goals for and 1.30 against. Their away record is the key: I count two straight wins on the road—3-1 over Real Avilés and 2-1 against Racing de Ferrol—with just one loss in their last five away games. The head-to-head history backs my read: Logroñés won 4-1 the last time these sides met. I'm taking that as a strong signal of the gap between them.

Best bet

I'm taking Logroñés to win at 2.23 on 1xBet. That price reflects the home advantage Amorebieta carry, but I think the visitors' league level and away form justify the risk. Logroñés have conceded in eight straight games, which is a concern for their defence, but I'm not worried about a low-scoring result here—I expect them to score enough to win.

I could layer this with Over 2.5 at 1.89, given both teams' tendency to find the net, but the straight win is my core play. Logroñés have the quality to break down a Segunda Federación side, and their recent away wins show they can deliver under pressure.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring Both Teams Score yes at 1.70. Amorebieta scored in four of their last six matches, and Logroñés have conceded in eight consecutive games. That combination feels like a natural fit, and the price offers value if I want to hedge my main bet or build a parlay.

I'll also keep an eye on the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Logroñés at 1.90. It's tighter than the outright win but gives me a safety net if the match ends level—I'd get my stake back. Over 2.5 at 1.89 is another angle I'd consider if I want to back goal flow without picking a winner. The Away win at 2.23 remains my primary conviction play.