Anaitasuna vs Alaves Prediction

I'm backing Alavés to run up the scoreboard here, and the gap between these two sides makes it straightforward. Anaitasuna play in the sixth tier of Spanish football, the División de Honor de Gipuzkoa, while Alavés are a La Liga club sitting seventh in the top flight. I see this as a mismatch that favors attacking output from the visitors. Alavés have struggled lately—winless in six matches with four losses—but a Copa del Rey tie against amateur opposition is exactly the kind of fixture where a La Liga side finds its rhythm. Anaitasuna won their last two home matches and have scored in five straight, so they'll create chances, but I expect Alavés to dominate possession and finish their opportunities.

Form and H2H

Anaitasuna have won three of their last four matches and scored at least one goal in five consecutive outings. I like their recent home form, with back-to-back wins at Azkoitia. But I'm more interested in Alavés' profile here. They're winless in six straight and have lost four of those, which looks bad on paper, yet they're still seventh in La Liga with 12 points after 10 rounds. I see that poor run as temporary form rather than a structural problem. Away from home, Alavés have gone four matches without a win, but stepping down to the sixth tier should reset that narrative. These teams have never met, so I'm working from pure context: La Liga side versus amateur club in a cup tie.

Best bet

I'm taking Deportivo Alavés Total over 3.5 goals at 1xBet. I'll explain my reasoning plainly. Alavés are the clear favorites at 1.02, and I think they'll win comfortably, but the real edge is in their goal output. They're a top-flight team with attacking talent—Boyé, Mariano, and Rebbach in the lineup—facing a sixth-tier defense. I expect them to score four or five goals across 90 minutes. The price of 1.11 for Over 2.5 is tight, so I'm targeting the higher threshold. My model suggests Alavés will find the net at least four times in this competition, and I'm confident enough to take that at the odds offered.

Odds to watch

The 1xBet odds show Alavés at 1.02 to win, which reflects their status as overwhelming favorites. I'm not interested in that price—it's too short. Both Teams Score is available at 3.0 for yes and 1.35 for no. I think Anaitasuna will score, given their five-match streak, so yes at 3.0 has some appeal if you want to hedge your Alavés bet. The Over 2.5 sits at 1.11, which I find underpriced relative to my Alavés Total over 3.5 play. If you want a simpler entry, Over 2.5 at 1.11 is the floor, but I prefer the higher total to capture Alavés' likely output.