Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

I'm backing Under 3.5 goals here. Arsenal lead the Premier League but play tight matches at home in the league, and Hull City's average output stays modest. Arsenal have kept opponents to under 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home league games. Hull have scored under 1.5 on the road in 9 of their last 10 away league matches. Those two facts alone point to a low-scoring night at the Emirates on 7 November 2026 at 18:00.

I do see some risk. Hull drew 2:2 with Everton and 2:2 with Ipswich recently, and Arsenal drew 2:2 with Bayern Munich in the Champions League midweek. Four goals fit the pattern of both teams' recent form. But I'm more convinced by Arsenal's defensive record in the league specifically and Hull's overall restraint. The combination tilts me toward the under.

Form and H2H

Arsenal sit top of the table, three points clear of Manchester City. I've watched them go unbeaten in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. They beat Slavia Prague 2:1 away in the Champions League this week, though defender Ezri Konsa left with knee discomfort and his availability is uncertain for this fixture.

Hull have not won a league match since August—seven games without a victory, though only two defeats in that run. They drew 2:2 with Ipswich in round 9 and sit 11th in the table. I note Hull have not won in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Both teams carry defensive solidity into this one, which reinforces my read on the total.

Best bet

I'm taking Under 3.5 at 1.61 on 1xBet. The price reflects genuine uncertainty—bookmakers see four goals as plausible given Hull's recent draws. But I weigh Arsenal's league-specific defensive record more heavily than their midweek result. Hull average 2.33 goals per game across nine league matches this season, and the combined expected goals for both teams sat at 2.49 per match. That math supports the under. I'll take 1.61 for the discipline.

Odds to watch

Arsenal are heavy favorites at 1.18 on the 1X2. Hull's win sits at 21. I'd rather avoid that binary and focus on the total markets. Over 2.5 trades at 1.53 on 1xBet, and I think that's overpriced given what I've seen from both defenses. Both Teams Score pays 2.46 for yes and 1.49 for no—I lean toward no, since Arsenal's home record keeps opponents quiet and Hull rarely score on the road. The Asian Handicap Arsenal -1.5 is 1.54, which prices in a comfortable home win without the goal glut I'd need to sweat the under.