I'm backing AS Roma to score over 2 goals on 7 November 2026 at 22:45. Roma scores relentlessly at home and Sassuolo leaks goals on the road, which makes this straightforward for me. In their last ten Serie A matches, Roma have hit at least two goals in nine of them, averaging 2.7 per game. Their recent form screams attacking intent: they hammered Cagliari 4-2 at home on 27 October, then beat Udinese 5-2 away on 31 October. I'm not concerned about their midweek loss to Manchester United. Sassuolo, meanwhile, have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last ten Serie A matches, averaging 2.6 per game. They shipped four to Fiorentina on 2 November and six to Lazio on 27 October. My read is simple: Roma's attacking consistency meets Sassuolo's defensive vulnerability.
Form and H2H
Roma have not lost in their last ten home Serie A matches, and I see that streak continuing here. Sassuolo have not won in their last ten away Serie A matches, which tells me everything about the gap between these sides. Looking at the head-to-head record, Roma have won four of the last six meetings, with two draws. The pattern favours Roma's attacking output. In their last ten matches across all competitions, Roma went unbeaten in eight, while Sassuolo have won just twice in their last ten across all competitions. I'm confident Roma will dominate possession and create multiple chances. Sassuolo's recent 2-4 defeat to Fiorentina shows they cannot handle sustained pressure, and Roma's intensity at the Stadio Olimpico will expose that weakness.
Best bet
I'm taking AS Roma over 2 at 1.87 on 1xBet. That price reflects genuine value given Roma's output. I could also look at Roma over 2.5 at 1.39, but I prefer the 2-goal line because Roma have cleared it in nine of their last ten Serie A matches. The 1.87 odds give me better margin for error than the shorter price, and I'm confident Roma will score at least three goals here. Sassuolo concede 6.6 shots on target per match on average, and Roma average 6.3 shots on target per match, so the volume is there. I'm not chasing the match winner at 1.35 when Roma's individual total offers cleaner logic.
Odds to watch
The match winner sits at 1.35 for Roma, 6.1 for the draw, and 8.9 for Sassuolo on 1xBet. I think Roma's price is fair given their home record, but I prefer the individual total. Over 2.5 goals overall is 1.39, under 2.5 is 3.0. Both Teams Score yes is 1.63 and no is 2.17. If I wanted to hedge, I could pair Roma over 2 with BTTS no at 2.17, since Sassuolo's attack has misfired in recent weeks. The Asian handicap -0.75 for Roma is 1.35, which is tight, so I'll stick with the individual total as my primary play.

