Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction

I'm backing Atletico Madrid to dismantle Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 on 24 October 2026 at 22:00. Simeone's side edged Espanyol 1-0 last time out and sit in title contention. They've won all three home matches in my sample, scoring 2.67 goals per game while conceding just 0.33. I see no reason that run ends here.

Deportivo arrive in poor shape. They've gone five games without a win and their injury list is mounting: Aubameyang is out, Hernandez and Ede picked up knocks against Levante. I'm most concerned about their away record—they concede 1.75 goals per road game and haven't kept a clean sheet in ten matches. That's a recipe for getting torn apart by Atletico's attack.

Form and H2H

My head-to-head data shows Atletico have dominated this fixture. They won 6-0 in 2012, 2-0 in 2014, 2-1 in 2015, and 3-0 in 2016. I count four wins in six meetings. Deportivo's best result was a 1-1 draw in 2015 and a 0-0 in 2013. I don't see them breaking that pattern now.

At home, Atletico's profit trend on the match winner is +2.90. I'm also encouraged by their +1.28 trend on team total over 1.5 goals. Deportivo's away form is dire: they've lost three of their last ten and drawn five. Their profit trend on the match winner sits at -0.75, and they've failed to score consistently on the road.

Best bet

I'm taking Atletico Madrid 2-0 as my main play. At 1xBet, the home win pays 1.31. That's short, but justified given Atletico's home dominance and Deportivo's defensive collapse. I'll also back Both Teams to Score No at 1.68—Atletico concede 0.33 per home game, and Deportivo are toothless without Aubameyang.

I like Under 2.5 goals at 2.4. Yes, Atletico average 2.67 at home, but Deportivo's weakness means this becomes a one-sided affair. I expect Atletico to control the game, score twice, and leave Deportivo with nothing. The 2-0 scoreline fits that narrative perfectly.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the 1xBet board for value plays. The home win at 1.31 is my core bet. If I want to layer in more, Both Teams to Score No at 1.68 gives me a second angle on Atletico's defensive solidity. Over 2.5 at 1.49 is tempting if you believe Atletico will run riot, but I prefer the under at 2.4 given Deportivo's impotence.

The Asian Handicap market isn't listed in my 1xBet prices, so I can't quote it. Same for individual team totals. I'll stick with the home win, BTTS No, and Under 2.5 as my three-pronged approach to this mismatch.