Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

- : -18 October 2026 at 22:30Brazil
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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 18 Oct 2026Updated: 18 Oct 2026, 15:22

Match preview

I'm backing Flamengo not to lose at Bahia on 19 October 2026 at 00:30. Bahia have found their rhythm under Rogerio Ceni and won 1-0 over Mirasoléu last week, but I see a team still prone to defensive lapses. They lost to Palmeiras and Atlético Paranaense recently, and while their attack has scored 10 goals in six matches, that inconsistency in defence is the real tell. Flamengo arrive as the away side with a seven-win, three-draw record in their last ten—they haven't lost on the road in that stretch. I'm taking the draw or the win.

Form and H2H

My read of the head-to-head since 2012 shows Flamengo with the edge: they've won three of the six meetings, drawn once, and lost twice. The most recent clash came in 2017, a 1-0 Flamengo win. I'm also looking at the last-ten numbers, and they tell me everything I need to know. Bahia average 1.50 goals for and 1.10 against at home. Flamengo average 1.60 goals for and just 0.50 against away. That defensive solidity on the road is exactly what I'm counting on here.

Best bet

I'm taking Flamengo not to lose. The away form is simply too strong to ignore, and Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities give me confidence that even if this stays tight, Flamengo won't crack. I don't have a 1xBet price to quote for this specific market in my notes, so I'll monitor the odds as they firm, but the logic is clear: seven wins and three draws in ten away matches, zero losses. That's the kind of record I build a ticket around.

Odds to watch

I'll be watching the Match Winner and Both Teams Score markets as they come up on 1xBet. The profit trends tell me Bahia bettors have lost money backing home wins and goals over 1.5, while Flamengo backers have made small gains on the away win. I'm also interested in the Team Total markets once pricing appears, because Flamengo's defensive record away—0.50 goals conceded per match—suggests they'll keep Bahia's attack at arm's length. If the odds favour an Under on Bahia's team total, that's where my second unit goes.

Bahia vs Flamengo Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet3.263.822.12Place a bet
Best odds3.263.822.12
Average3.263.822.12
Lowest odds3.263.822.12
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 22:30

1X222.1246%
DCX/271%
BTTSYes60%
1 29%X 25%2 46%

Flamengo win

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Bahia vs Flamengo Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BahiaBahiaLast matchesFlamengoFlamengo
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Bahia — Flamengo

In the last 8 meetings, Flamengo hold the edge — 1 wins for Bahia, 7 for Flamengo, 0 draws.

13% W — 10% D — 088% W — 7
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 19 Apr 2026
  • BahiaBahia1:0FlamengoFlamengo
    Serie A · 05 Oct 2025
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 11 May 2025
  • BahiaBahia0:2FlamengoFlamengo
    Serie A · 05 Oct 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Copa Do Brasil · 13 Sept 2024
  • BahiaBahia0:1FlamengoFlamengo
    Copa Do Brasil · 29 Aug 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:1BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 21 Jun 2024
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0BahiaBahia
    Serie A · 30 Sept 2023
100%Over 0.5100%
38%Over 1.538%
13%Over 2.513%
13%BTTS13%
25%Bahia over 0.588%

Betting profits Bahia vs Flamengo

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Bahia

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.03614
Match WinnerDraw+3.74514
Match WinnerLose-8.46314
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.191014
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+3.07414
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.29810
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-0.32610
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-4.92514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+4.15914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-4.64514
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.391114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.74313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+1.201013
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+4.82313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.421013

Flamengo

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+0.611015
Match WinnerDraw+0.56415
Match WinnerLose-11.64115
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.161215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.39315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.51715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.98815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.19713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.311113
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-8.93215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+3.261315
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.10112
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.961112
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.7923
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+3.3313
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.1568
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.1848

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

BahiaLast matches Bahia

Bahia are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • BahiaBahia1:0MirassolMirassol
    WSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • PalmeirasPalmeiras1:0BahiaBahia
    LSerie A · 09 Oct 2026
  • Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense2:1BahiaBahia
    LSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • BahiaBahia2:1remoremo
    WSerie A · 15 Sept 2026
  • RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2:3BahiaBahia
    WSerie A · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

FlamengoLast matches Flamengo

In the last 5 matches Flamengo have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.0:0FlamengoFlamengo
    DCONMEBOL Libertadores · 16 Oct 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0FluminenseFluminense
    WSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • SantosSantos2:2FlamengoFlamengo
    DSerie A · 08 Oct 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo2:1RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
    WSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
    DCONMEBOL Libertadores · 18 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Bahia vs Flamengo Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1PalmeirasPalmeiras31199354-223266
2FlamengoFlamengo30197458-253364
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense31158849-371253
4FluminenseFluminense30149748-371151
5Atletico-MGAtletico-MG31148942-35750
6BahiaBahia301310744-36849
7CruzeiroCruzeiro301461046-44248
8Sao PauloSao Paulo311261336-35142
9SantosSantos301191046-45142
10RB BragantinoRB Bragantino301171238-35340
11BotafogoBotafogo311091244-48-439
12CoritibaCoritiba311091238-49-1139
13VitoriaVitoria301061433-44-1136
14MirassolMirassol31991336-44-836
15Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama30981336-43-735
16CorinthiansCorinthians30881431-38-732
17InternacionalInternacional317111333-40-732
18GremioGremio307101332-40-831
19remoremo305101533-48-1525
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc30391830-62-3218
League position 6 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 20
1343%Wins63%19
1033%Draws23%7
723%Losses13%4
4476%Goals scored100%58
36100%Goals conceded69%25
4977%Points100%64

Season statistic Bahia vs Flamengo

BahiaBahia

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

FlamengoFlamengo

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Arena Fonte Nova, El Salvador
  • Referee Wilton Sampaio

Lineups

BahiaBahia

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

FlamengoFlamengo

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Bahia

  • Léo Vieira — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Flamengo

  • Danilo — Unavailable. Inactive
  • Ayrton Lucas — Unavailable. Thigh Injury
  • G. de Arrascaeta — Unavailable. Wrist Injury
  • Evertton Araujo — Unavailable. Thigh Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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