Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

I'm backing Bayer Leverkusen to score over 1.5 goals against Stuttgart on 31 October 2026 at 17:30. Leverkusen attack relentlessly at home and Stuttgart's away defence leaks chances. I've seen enough from both sides to expect the hosts to find the net at least twice.

Leverkusen averaged 2.2 goals across their last ten Bundesliga matches, with expected goals sitting at 2.24 per game. The numbers align—they create the chances and they finish them. Stuttgart conceded at least two goals in eight of their last ten away league games, and their opponents averaged 2.31 xG against them. I'm confident Leverkusen will generate sufficient opportunities to convert more than one.

I do carry reservations. Leverkusen lost 0–3 to Hoffenheim on 25 October, a result that stings. Marten Terje and Moussa Diaby are unavailable, which narrows the attacking options. Still, the underlying pattern favours Leverkusen's firepower against Stuttgart's porous defence, even if I expect the hosts to score two goals by half-time rather than later.

Form and H2H

Leverkusen won 5–2 against Nuremberg on 28 October and have not lost in nine of their last ten home league matches. Patrick Schick leads the attack with six goals and two assists in seven Bundesliga appearances. I've watched Leverkusen's last ten official matches and over 1.5 goals has landed in all of them. At home in the league, they've registered over 4.5 shots on target in each of their last ten matches.

Stuttgart drew 1–0 away at Paderborn in the cup on 28 October but lost 2–3 to Borussia Mönchengladbach in the league on 23 October. Manager Sebastian Hoeness admitted after the Paderborn win that results are hard to come by right now. Stuttgart have not won in seven of their last ten league matches. Over 2.5 goals has landed in eight of their last ten away league games, which tells me they concede consistently on the road.

Best bet

I'm taking Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals at 1.32 on 1xBet. The price reflects the strength of Leverkusen's attack and Stuttgart's away-day fragility. I'll also consider both teams to score at 1.33, since Stuttgart have shown they can score on the road despite their defensive issues. The Asian handicap at -0.25 for Leverkusen at 1.6 offers another angle if I want to back the hosts with a safety net.

Odds to watch

Leverkusen are 1.85 to win outright on 1xBet, with the draw at 4.57 and Stuttgart at 3.9. The main total sits at over 2.5 for 1.32 and under 2.5 for 3.34. I'd also monitor Leverkusen's individual total over 1.5 at 1.45, which isolates their scoring threat. Stuttgart's individual total over 1.5 sits at 2.17, reflecting their weaker attacking output. Both teams to score pays 1.33 yes and 3.1 no.