Bologna vs Monza Prediction

I'm backing Monza to score at least one goal here, and Bologna's defensive record gives me confidence. The hosts have conceded 1.5 goals per match across their last ten Serie A games, and that fragility showed in recent results: they lost 1–3 to Inter on 17 October, then beat Milan 4–2 on 28 October. That kind of inconsistency at the back worries me when facing a Monza side that has found the net in nine consecutive Serie A matches.

I've watched Monza create chances consistently. In those same nine games, they averaged around 1.54 xG per match, which is enough to trouble Bologna. Even in their 2–3 away loss to Torino on 23 October, Monza scored twice. Bologna did keep a clean sheet against Cagliuri on 24 October, winning 2–0, but I'm not swayed by one result. The underlying numbers favour Monza to break through here on 31 October 2026 at 17:00.

Form and H2H

Bologna arrive off the back of that 4–2 win over Milan, which masks a troubling home record. I've noted they've failed to win in 9 of their last 10 home matches in Serie A. They've also scored fewer than 3.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all competitions, so their attacking output is unreliable despite that Milan scoreline.

Monza's away form is poor—they've lost 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches—but I'm not betting on them to win. I'm simply expecting them to score, and their consistent goalscoring run makes that a reasonable proposition. Bologna's opponents have averaged 1.348 xG against them in their last ten Serie A games, which tells me the hosts are vulnerable to the chances Monza will create.

Best bet

I'm taking Monza over 0.5 goals at 1xBet. The price reflects Monza's nine-game scoring streak in Serie A against Bologna's leaky defence. I've watched Bologna concede regularly at home and away, and Monza's attacking output—1.54 xG per game over nine matches—gives me the edge I need. This isn't about Monza winning the match; it's about them scoring, which their form strongly suggests they will.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the 1xBet odds across several markets. The home win sits at 1.76, with the draw at 3.99 and Monza at 5.09. On the Over/Under 2.5 line, I see over at 1.89 and under at 2.06—a tight market that reflects the uncertainty around total goals. The Asian Handicap -0.25 prices home at 1.5 and away at 3.98. Both Teams Score is priced at 1.77 for yes and 1.96 for no, which I find interesting given both sides' recent form. I'll stick with my individual total play on Monza, but these markets confirm Bologna's defensive issues are priced in across the board.