I'm backing Boreham Wood 2-2 Wigan in what looks like a classic cup upset waiting to happen. The National League hosts have won their last ten matches in all competitions and are averaging 3.20 goals against per game at home. Wigan arrive in League One but have been dreadful away from the DW Stadium, failing to win any of their last five road trips and scoring just twice in that stretch. I see this as a match where Boreham Wood's home form collides with Wigan's travel troubles, and the result is a draw that sends both teams to a replay.
Form and H2H
I've watched Boreham Wood's recent run and it's genuinely impressive. They've won nine of their last ten matches, conceding just one goal across that sequence. Matt Rush has been their main weapon with ten goals this season, and I expect him to cause problems for a Wigan defence that shipped a goalless draw against Mansfield last time out. On the away side, I'm concerned about Wigan's injury situation. Scott Hogan picked up a knock against Mansfield, so Christian Saydee may lead the line if the forward doesn't recover. That uncertainty in attack, combined with their poor away record, makes me think Boreham Wood will get something from this tie.
Best bet
I'm taking Boreham Wood 2-2 Wigan at the correct score. This isn't a wild guess. Boreham Wood have the form and firepower to trouble Wigan at home, but the visitors have enough quality to score twice themselves. A draw feels like the natural outcome when you weigh up Boreham Wood's dominance at Meadow Park against Wigan's stubborn away performances. I'll also back Both Teams to Score because I'm confident both sides will find the net in this one.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring the Over 2.5 market closely because I expect goals in this match. Boreham Wood average 3.20 goals per game at home and Wigan have been leaky on their travels. I'd also consider Over 1.5 as a safer option if you want shorter odds. The Both Teams to Score line appeals to me given Boreham Wood's attacking threat and Wigan's inability to keep clean sheets away from home. Watch for Jay Bird as an anytime goalscorer if he features in the Boreham Wood attack.

