Segunda División · Regular Season - 10

Burgos vs Sabadell Prediction

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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 18 Oct 2026, 21:25

Match preview

I'm backing Burgos to win 2-1 at home against Sabadell on 18 October 2026 at 22:00. This is a Segunda División clash where I see the home side as the stronger outfit, capable of breaking down a visiting defence that will struggle to contain them. I expect Burgos to dominate possession and create clear chances, while Sabadell will likely get one goal on the counter or from a set piece, but not enough to take anything from the match.

Form and H2H

I don't have access to recent form data or head-to-head records for this fixture, so I'm working from the underlying quality of these two sides in the Segunda División. What I do know is that Burgos at home should be favoured in this matchup. I'm confident enough in the 2-1 scoreline to make it my main play, which tells you I see a competitive match with goals at both ends rather than a one-sided affair.

Best bet

I'm taking Burgos to win at 2.75 on the 1X2 market. That's my core pick. I also like the idea of both teams scoring at 1.98, which aligns with my 2-1 prediction. If I want to be more specific about the exact scoreline, the correct score pays elsewhere, but at 1xBet I'm sticking with the home win at 2.75 as the cleanest way to capture Burgos's edge. Over 2.5 goals sits at 2.44, and I'd consider that too, since I expect three goals in this match.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap at -0.25 for Burgos, priced at 2.29, which gives me a push if they win by exactly one goal. That's useful insurance if I'm wrong about the 2-1 scoreline and they only win 1-0. Both Teams to Score at 1.98 is my secondary play because I expect Sabadell to get a goal despite losing. The Under 2.5 at 1.58 is too short for my liking given the attacking potential I see from Burgos at home.

Burgos vs Sabadell Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Burgos vs Sabadell

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 20:00

1X22
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Burgos vs Sabadell Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

BurgosBurgosLast matchesSabadellSabadell
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Burgos — Sabadell

In the last 1 meetings, Burgos hold the edge — 1 wins for Burgos, 0 for Sabadell, 0 draws.

100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
  • BurgosBurgos1:0SabadellSabadell
    Segunda División · 18 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
0%Over 1.50%
0%Over 2.50%
0%BTTS0%
100%Burgos over 0.50%

Betting profits Burgos vs Sabadell

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Burgos

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+1.00613
Match WinnerDraw-2.61313
Match WinnerLose-4.70413
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-4.22511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+6.48611
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-3.76613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.62713
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.63613
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-1.38713
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.1036
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.1056
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.82311
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.96811
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.0003
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.3433
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.9012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+5.3212

Sabadell

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.03512
Match WinnerDraw+10.43612
Match WinnerLose-10.08112
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.75812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.52712
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-0.94512
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+0.38712
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.7137
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.0357
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.88211
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.48911
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.56610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.66410
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+4.7313
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.7723
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.8712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+5.7912

Match statistics

6363%Possession %37%37
2.1383%Expected goals17%0.43
1263%Total shots37%7
675%Shots on target25%2
450%Shots off target50%4
1077%Corners23%3
1032%Fouls68%21
267%Yellow cards33%1
00%Red cards0%0
37556%Passes44%296
26657%Accurate passes43%201
225%Saves75%6
233%Offsides67%4

Key events

  • 4'
    Yellow card Álex
    Burgos
  • 13'
    Yellow card Grego
    Burgos
  • 29'
    Yellow card Óscar Sanz
    Sabadell
  • 32'
    Yellow card Sergio Francisco Ramos
    Burgos
  • 34'
    Substitution David González (→ Curro Sánchez)
    Burgos
  • 45'
    Substitution K. Appin (→ Alberto Dadie)
    Burgos
  • 63'
    Penalty Curro Sánchez
    Burgos
  • 64'
    Substitution Pere Pons (→ Eneko Aguilar)
    Sabadell
  • 64'
    Substitution Ton Ripoll (→ Y. Rahmani)
    Sabadell
  • 64'
    Substitution José Luis Català (→ Gastón Valles)
    Sabadell
  • 75'
    Substitution Jon Karrikaburu (→ Álex Forés)
    Burgos
  • 76'
    Substitution Javi Llabrés (→ Víctor Mollejo)
    Burgos
  • 78'
    Substitution Q. Liameed (→ N. Obolskiy)
    Sabadell
  • 78'
    Substitution J. Priego (→ Alain Ribeiro)
    Sabadell
  • 79'
    Substitution P. Galdames (→ José Gragera)
    Burgos

BurgosLast matches Burgos

Burgos are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 30% D — 040% L — 2
  • BurgosBurgos0:1Granada CFGranada CF
    LSegunda División · 12 Oct 2026
  • AlmeriaAlmeria2:1BurgosBurgos
    LSegunda División · 03 Oct 2026
  • BurgosBurgos1:0EldenseEldense
    WSegunda División · 27 Sept 2026
  • Las PalmasLas Palmas1:2BurgosBurgos
    WSegunda División · 20 Sept 2026
  • BurgosBurgos3:1AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC
    WSegunda División · 11 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
60%

SabadellLast matches Sabadell

In the last 5 matches Sabadell have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 240% D — 220% L — 1
  • AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1:2SabadellSabadell
    WSegunda División · 10 Oct 2026
  • SabadellSabadell0:0FC AndorraFC Andorra
    DSegunda División · 04 Oct 2026
  • Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1:1SabadellSabadell
    DSegunda División · 26 Sept 2026
  • SabadellSabadell3:1OviedoOviedo
    WSegunda División · 20 Sept 2026
  • MallorcaMallorca2:0SabadellSabadell
    LSegunda División · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Burgos vs Sabadell Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1080220-71324
2CastellónCastellón1072118-41423
3EibarEibar1071220-11922
4Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311-9219
5MallorcaMallorca1053212-5718
6Granada CFGranada CF1052316-13317
7OviedoOviedo1052313-10317
8SabadellSabadell944110-7316
9GironaGirona943215-9615
10BurgosBurgos942312-10214
11ValladolidValladolid933313-11212
12TenerifeTenerife933311-13-212
13CordobaCordoba1040615-20-512
14Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II932414-15-111
15EldenseEldense932410-11-111
16Las PalmasLas Palmas1032513-19-611
17LeganesLeganes103256-15-911
18FC AndorraFC Andorra931513-15-210
19Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1022614-21-78
20CadizCadiz1014511-13-27
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC101279-22-135
22AlbaceteAlbacete100196-22-161
League position 10 / 22Comparative team statisticsLeague position 8 / 22
444%Wins44%4
222%Draws44%4
333%Losses11%1
12100%Goals scored83%10
10100%Goals conceded70%7
1488%Points100%16

Season statistic Burgos vs Sabadell

BurgosBurgos

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

SabadellSabadell

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 1
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Municipal El Plantio, Burgos
  • Referee Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez

Lineups

BurgosBurgos · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. P. Galdames
  2. K. Appin
  3. Ander Cantero
  4. Grego
  5. Oier Luengo
  6. Unai Vencedor
  7. Jon Karrikaburu
  8. Brais Martínez
  9. Javi Llabrés
  10. David González
  11. Álex

Bench

  1. Víctor Mollejo
  2. Sergio González
  3. José Gragera
  4. Curro Sánchez
  5. Ignasi Vilarrasa
  6. Álex Forés
  7. Alberto Dadie
  8. Fermin Garcia
  9. Marcelo Expósito
  10. Saúl del Cerro
  11. Bruno Iribarne
  12. I. Martinez

SabadellSabadell · 3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. Arthur Bonaldo
  2. Pipa
  3. Pere Pons
  4. Ton Ripoll
  5. Óscar Sanz
  6. Diego Fuoli
  7. Ángel Baena
  8. Q. Liameed
  9. Urri
  10. José Luis Català
  11. J. Priego

Bench

  1. Joaquim Utgés Almeda
  2. N. Obolskiy
  3. Kaiser Lázaro
  4. Y. Rahmani
  5. Alain Ribeiro
  6. Eneko Aguilar
  7. Marc Vidal
  8. Y. Owusu
  9. Gastón Valles
  10. J. Ortega

Injuries and suspensions

Burgos

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Sabadell

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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