I'm backing Liverpool to win at Selhurst Park on 8 November 2026 at 17:00. Crystal Palace are in freefall—18th place, seven points from nine matches, three straight league defeats. They've conceded 21 goals already, the worst defensive record in the Premier League. Liverpool arrive as clear favourites, and I see why. The Reds sit on 15 points from nine games with four wins, and they need this result to stay competitive after losing 1-0 to Arsenal and 3-2 to Fenerbahce in the Champions League. Palace's personnel crisis makes my job easier: Jean-Philippe Mateta is suspended after his red card against Tottenham, Ismaila Sarr is injured, and Chadi Riad and Takehiro Tomiyasu are also out. Eddie Nketiah will lead the attack, but he's no Mateta. Liverpool have Alexander Isak firing on all cylinders—six Premier League goals this season, more than half their league tally. I expect him to punish a Palace defence that has looked genuinely vulnerable all campaign.
Form and H2H
I've looked at the recent form, and it tells a stark story. Palace have won just two of their last ten, drawn three, and lost five. They're averaging 0.90 goals for and 1.80 against per game. Liverpool, by contrast, have won six of their last ten away matches, drawn one, and lost three. They're averaging 2.10 goals for and 1.60 against. That's a massive gulf in attacking output and defensive solidity. I know Palace beat Liverpool 2-1 at Selhurst Park in September 2025, but that was a different moment in both seasons. Liverpool's most recent meeting with Palace ended 3-1 to the Reds in April 2026. I'm not reading too much into single results, but the trajectory matters, and I see Liverpool as the sharper, hungrier side right now.
Best bet
I'm taking Liverpool to win at 1.62 on 1xBet. That's a fair price for a team with Liverpool's attacking depth against a Palace side missing two key forwards and leaking goals at an alarming rate. I could also see value in the Asian Handicap -0.25 at 1.41, which gives me a push if Liverpool draw, but I prefer the straight win. If I want to shade the odds a bit further, I'll layer in Over 2.5 goals at 1.56. Palace's defence is so porous and Liverpool's attack so potent that I expect at least three goals in this match. Isak will get chances, Florian Wirtz will create, and Dominik Szoboszlai will find space between the lines. Palace might score on the break—they showed fight in their 1-1 Europa League draw with Hoffenheim—but I don't see them keeping Liverpool out for 90 minutes.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring the Both Teams Score market at 1.61 for yes and 2.2 for no. Palace have shown they can score even in defeat, and Liverpool's defensive record isn't flawless. That 1.61 is tempting if I want to hedge my Liverpool win. For goal totals, I prefer Over 2.75 at 1.69 over Over 2.5 at 1.56—the extra juice is worth it given how open this match should be. If I'm feeling cautious, Over 2.0 at 1.24 is almost a certainty, but the odds barely compensate for the risk. The Asian Handicap 0.75 at 2.24 for Palace is a sucker's bet; I'm staying away. Liverpool should win this comfortably, and I expect them to do it by at least two goals.

