I'm backing Over 2.5 goals in this Eerste Divisie clash on 24 October 2026 at 17:30. Dordrecht sit tenth in the table but their defensive record is alarming. In their last six matches, they've conceded 11 goals, including back-to-back 3-0 hammerings to Emmen and TOP Oss. Yes, they beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 recently and won 3-2 against Almere City, but I can't ignore how leaky they are at the back. VVV Venlo arrive as the away side with a far sharper attacking profile, averaging 2.7 goals per game over their last ten outings. I expect them to exploit Dordrecht's vulnerabilities.
Form and H2H
My read of the head-to-head tells me this fixture produces goals. In their last six meetings, Dordrecht and VVV Venlo have played out a mixed bag: 1-0 wins, 4-2 thrillers, 2-1 defeats. The pattern shows both teams can score, and I'm particularly interested in VVV's form. Over their last ten games, they've won seven and drawn one, losing only twice. They're averaging 2.7 goals for and just 1.4 against. Dordrecht, by contrast, are averaging only 1.2 goals for while shipping 2.6 per game. I see a mismatch in quality and efficiency that should produce a high-scoring contest.
Best bet
I'm taking Over 2.5 goals at the price available on 1xBet. The profit trend data backs me here: Over 2.5 has returned +1.02 for Dordrecht bettors at home, and I expect that to hold. VVV's attacking prowess combined with Dordrecht's defensive fragility makes three or more goals a strong proposition. I'll ride this angle into the match.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring the full 1xBet card for this fixture. The Over/Under markets will be key given my thesis on goals. I'll also track any Both Teams Score pricing, since Dordrecht have shown they can score in patches despite their defensive mess. VVV's away form is so strong that I expect them to find the net, and Dordrecht's recent wins suggest they're capable of replies. The combination of Dordrecht's leaky defence and VVV's attacking efficiency makes this a high-probability goals match.

