I'm backing a draw here. Empoli host Vicenza Virtus on 23 October 2026 at 21:30, and I see both sides cancelling each other out in a 1-1 stalemate. Empoli have won just twice in their last ten matches, conceding 1.4 goals per game on average. Vicenza arrive with one win in ten and a defensive record that's worse—they're giving up 2.0 goals per outing. I expect Vicenza to score because Empoli's backline has been leaky, but I also expect Empoli to find the net against a Vicenza defence that's been under constant pressure. Neither team has the form or the firepower to pull away.
Form and H2H
I'm looking at Empoli's recent run and I see inconsistency. Two wins, four draws, four losses in their last ten tells me they're a team that struggles to build momentum. They're averaging just 1.0 goal per game, which is blunt. Vicenza are in a similar rut—one win, five draws, four losses—but they're scoring more often at 1.3 goals per match. The problem for Vicenza is their defence. I've watched enough of their season to know they're vulnerable, and that's where I expect Empoli to exploit them. My read is that this match sits somewhere between both teams' recent patterns: a low-scoring affair with chances at both ends.
Best bet
I'm taking the draw at 3.38 on 1xBet. That's my main play. I also like both teams to score at 1.59, because I genuinely believe Empoli will breach Vicenza's defence and Vicenza will get a goal past Empoli's shaky backline. I'm not confident in a high-scoring game, so I'm steering clear of Over 2.5 at 1.76. Under 2.5 at 1.99 is tempting, but the draw with both teams scoring feels like the sharper angle here. The 1-1 correct score is the logical endpoint of this match, and I'm comfortable riding that conviction through the draw odds.
Odds to watch
I'll be monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Empoli at 1.99 if I want a slight edge on the home side, though I prefer the straight draw. Both Teams to Score at 1.59 is my secondary bet because I'm confident both defences will leak. The Under 2.5 at 1.99 is there if I want to pair it with the draw for a tighter scoreline. I'm avoiding the Over 2.5 at 1.76 because I don't see this match producing three or more goals. My conviction is in a low-scoring draw with both teams getting on the board.

