I'm backing Sochi to win this one. Enisey are in freefall—four straight league losses, three of them heavy defeats—and they just lost at home to Nizhny Novgorod in the cup midweek. Sochi, despite a 2-0 home loss to Ufa last time out, remain in the promotion places and have won six straight on the road. The gap between these two teams right now is enormous, and Enisey's home advantage won't close it.
Form and H2H
I've looked at the last ten matches for both sides, and the numbers tell the story. Enisey at home have won just twice, drawn twice, and lost six times, averaging 0.90 goals for and 2.20 against. That's a team bleeding goals. Sochi away have won six of their last ten, drawn one, and lost three, scoring 1.30 per game and conceding just 1.10. The head-to-head is mixed—Sochi won 5-2 in July 2023, Enisey took a 1-0 win last August, and Sochi won 2-1 in March 2025. But form trumps history here.
Best bet
I'm taking Sochi to win at the price I can get. Enisey have eight players in the treatment room, and injuries to Okladnikov and Shershov came during the cup match. Tihonov can barely rotate his squad, let alone freshen it up between games on a packed calendar. Sochi lost Litvinov to a suspension, but Kalinin and Ezhov are back, so their depth is intact. I need Sochi's win because their away form is too strong to ignore against a side this depleted and this desperate.
Odds to watch
I'm also interested in Sochi's individual total over 1.5 goals. Enisey's defence has leaked at least two goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions. The squad shortage means Tihonov can't patch the gaps, and Sochi have the attacking quality to punish every mistake. The visitors score two or more in roughly half their league games, and they'll find space against a backline this thin. I'll track both the match winner and that team total as the odds come in on 8 November 2026 at 09:45.

