Estrela vs Benfica Prediction

I'm backing Benfica to dismantle Estrela 0-3 on 8 November 2026 at 23:30. Estrela are in freefall—four straight league losses, most recently 2-1 to Moreirense—and their home defence is leaking 1.75 goals per game over their last four outings. I see no reason they stop the bleeding against an opponent that has won all nine previous meetings between them.

Benfica arrive in ruthless form. I've watched them win nine of their last ten matches across all competitions, and their away record is particularly sharp: 2.60 goals per game over their last five road trips. They beat Alverca 1-0 last time out and are hunting Porto at the top of the table. This is a mismatch.

Form and H2H

My read on Estrela's last ten is grim: three wins, three draws, four losses, averaging just 1.49 goals for and 1.80 against. They're fragile at home and vulnerable to the press. Benfica, by contrast, have been nearly perfect—I count nine wins in their last ten matches in all competitions, with an away average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded.

I don't have fresh head-to-head data for this specific pairing, but the source material confirms Benfica have won all nine previous meetings with Estrela. That record alone tells me everything about the quality gap between these sides.

Best bet

I'm taking Benfica to win 0-3. The correct score sits at 8.50 on 1xBet, and while that's a long price, the underlying logic is sound: Estrela's defence is in crisis, Benfica's attack is firing, and the Eagles have owned this fixture historically. I'll also layer in Over 2.5 goals at 1.44—I've seen this line land in six of the previous nine encounters, and Benfica's away form suggests they'll breach Estrela multiple times.

If I want to play it safer, I take the Away Win at shorter odds, but I'm confident enough in Benfica's superiority to chase the correct score here.

Odds to watch

On 1xBet, I'm monitoring Over 1.5 goals at 1.13 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.44. Both feel like solid plays given Benfica's attacking prowess and Estrela's defensive fragility. I'm also eyeing Both Teams to Score at No, priced at 1.95—I suspect Benfica will keep a clean sheet, and that price reflects genuine doubt in the market.

For the brave, Benfica Clean Sheet at 2.00 is worth a look. Estrela have managed just 1.49 goals per game over their last ten, and facing Benfica's defence on the road is a different proposition entirely. I'd pair that with the correct score for maximum value.