FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction

I'm backing Thun to win this. They're separated by one point in the table, and Thun arrives with genuine momentum while Basel is stuck in a rut. Thun sit ninth with 13 points after 12 rounds. Basel are seventh with 14 points, but they haven't won a league match in four games. The home advantage matters here, and I think Thun's emotional state gives them the edge.

Thun just beat Lausanne 5-4 after trailing 1-4, then dismantled Hearts 3-1 in the Conference League. That's the kind of form that carries into the next fixture. Basel, meanwhile, lost 1-2 away to Lugano and are missing Djerdjan Shaqiri through suspension. I see Thun as the hungrier side.

Form and H2H

I track Thun's last ten matches: four wins, one draw, five losses. They're averaging 1.90 goals for and 2.00 against. Basel's away form is the real problem for me. In their last ten, they've won twice, drawn twice, and lost six times. Away from home, they're conceding 2.50 goals per game on average—that's the worst defensive record among the regular Super League clubs this year.

The head-to-head tells me Basel have dominated this fixture historically. They won 2-0, 3-0, 2-0 in three of their last six meetings, and drew 3-3 in another. But I don't weight old results heavily when current form is this stark. Basel's defensive vulnerability on the road and Thun's recent attacking output matter more to me than what happened in 2017 and 2018.

Best bet

I'm taking Thun to win at 2.1 with 1xBet. I rate this at roughly 55% probability, and anything above 1.82 is playable for me. Thun have scored 24 goals in 12 rounds despite conceding 34. Basel have won four times and drawn twice but lost six times, and they're in free fall in the league. The home crowd and Thun's recent results make this the right side.

I'll also watch the goals market closely. Both teams can score. Thun's last league match had nine goals total. Basel played in 13 of their last 14 matches with Over 2.5 goals. Their first meeting this season finished 4-2. I see Over 2.5 at 1.35, which is tight, but the underlying logic is sound: Thun attack, Basel's away defense leaks, and both sides have shown they can put the ball in the net.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the 1xBet card for alternative angles. Home win sits at 2.1, the draw at 3.86, and Basel at 2.99. The Asian Handicap -0.25 for Thun is 1.82, which gives me a half-line if I want to reduce variance. Both Teams Score yes is 1.35, and I expect both sides to find the net given Basel's away defensive issues and Thun's attacking form.

Over 2.5 is 1.35 and Under 2.5 is 2.74. I lean toward the over because Thun average 1.90 goals for per game and Basel concede 2.50 away. That's 4.40 goals combined in the model, well above the line. The match kicks off on 8 November 2026 at 18:30.