I'm backing Juventus to win this one on 8 November 2026 at 22:45. Fiorentina has no fiercer rival than Juventus, and the Florentines will try to spoil things for the Old Lady again, but I see the visitors in far better shape. Juventus beat Napoli 2-0 last time out and followed that with a 2-1 win over AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League midweek. Luciano Spalletti has steadied the ship after a shock 0-2 loss to Genoa. Fiorentina, meanwhile, beat Sassuolo 4-2 last week, but that win masks a five-match run without a victory before it. Paolo Vanoli's side presses high and tries to win the ball back fast, but their press lacks quality and opponents find plenty of space for counterattacks once they break the first line.
Form and H2H
I'm looking at the last four head-to-head meetings between these teams, and Juventus hasn't won any of them. That's a real concern on paper. But I weigh current form heavily, and the stats tell a different story. Juventus has won five of their last ten, drawn two, and lost three, averaging 1.30 goals for and 1.10 against on the road. Fiorentina at home has won three of ten, drawn two, and lost five, averaging 1.80 goals for and 1.90 against. I also note that Fiorentina have lost five of six matches against top-ten sides this season, with just one draw. Juventus's defence remains one of Serie A's best and allows the fewest chances in the division. Fiorentina are still without key players: centre-back Marina Pongrácic, full-back Luca Ranieri, and central midfielder Arturo Atta.
Best bet
I'm taking Juventus to win at 2.1 on 1xBet. The price is generous given how Juventus have recovered form and how Fiorentina remain in crisis despite one decent result. Yes, the head-to-head favours the home side, but I trust Spalletti's recent work more than I trust Vanoli's struggling squad. Juventus struggle in set positional play against defensive blocks, but they're dangerous on the break, and Fiorentina's high line gives them exactly the space they need to hurt on the counter. I'll take that at 2.1.
Odds to watch
I'm also eyeing Over 2.5 at 1.85. Fiorentina have scored in every match under Vanoli and played over 2.5 goals in 88 per cent of their games. Juventus have kept only one clean sheet in their last six away matches despite their strong defensive record. The visitors will create chances on the break, and I expect Fiorentina to get at least one goal. Over 2.5 at 1.85 makes sense. If I want to be more cautious, Both Teams Score at 1.63 is also worth considering, given Fiorentina's attacking consistency and Juventus's occasional lapses at the back.

