Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31

Fluminense vs Santos Prediction

- : -18 October 2026 at 20:00Brazil
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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 17 Oct 2026Updated: 18 Oct 2026, 04:34

Match preview

I'm backing both teams to score in this clash on 18 October 2026 at 22:00. Fluminense sit fourth in Serie A with 51 points from 30 matches, but they're stretched thin. They face Palmeiras in a Copa Libertadores semi-final second leg on October 22, which means rotation is coming. I expect the hosts to control possession and slow the tempo to manage fatigue, but that pragmatism opens space for Santos to attack. Santos are eighth with 42 points and fresher than their opponents. They'll press high and look to exploit Fluminense's congested schedule through quick flanks and aggressive play through the center. My read is that Fluminense's need to preserve energy for continental football, combined with Santos' hunger to climb into continental qualification places, creates the conditions for both sides to find the net.

Form and H2H

I've studied the head-to-head record between these teams, and it tells me goals come regularly. Since 2011, their six meetings have produced 13 goals total. I see patterns in recent clashes: Fluminense 3-2 Santos in 2011, Fluminense 3-1 Santos in 2012, then Santos 2-0 Fluminense in 2013. Both teams have shown they can score against each other. Looking at their last-10 form, I note Fluminense average 1.80 goals for and 1.30 against at home. Santos average 1.70 goals for and 1.30 against away. My analysis of the profit trends shows Santos' away record favors goals: Over 1.5 goals sits at 0.89 profit, and their team total over 1.5 is at 12.81 profit. These numbers suggest Santos create chances on the road.

Best bet

I'm taking Both Teams to Score - Yes. This is the pick that makes sense to me given the tactical setup and the teams' recent output. Fluminense will rotate and control possession, but they can't shut down Santos entirely. Santos arrive fresher and motivated, and I expect them to test the Fluminense defense consistently. I'll need 1xBet's price on this market to confirm my stake, but the logic is sound: both sides have the quality and the circumstances to score in this fixture.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Over/Under markets closely. The match script suggests a scrappy contest with few clear-cut chances, so I'll be cautious about backing high goal totals. I want to see 1xBet's Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 prices before committing there. I'm also interested in the Asian Handicap lines and the Home win, Draw, and Away win prices in the 1X2 market. Santos' away form and Fluminense's rotation needs create genuine uncertainty about the result, so I'll compare the odds across those markets to find value beyond my Both Teams to Score pick.

Fluminense vs Santos Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.363.483.01Place a bet
Best odds2.363.483.01
Average2.363.483.01
Lowest odds2.363.483.01
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1X2 prediction for Fluminense vs Santos

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 20:00

1X223.01
BTTSYes80%

Competitive fixture

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Fluminense vs Santos Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

FluminenseFluminenseLast matchesSantosSantos
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals100%
80%Over 2.5 goals100%
40%Over 3.5 goals40%
60%BTTS100%
60%Last 5 BTTS100%

Head to Head Fluminense — Santos

In the last 8 meetings, Fluminense hold the edge — 4 wins for Fluminense, 1 for Santos, 3 draws.

50% W — 438% D — 313% W — 1
  • SantosSantos2:3FluminenseFluminense
    Serie A · 19 Apr 2026
  • SantosSantos0:0FluminenseFluminense
    Serie A · 31 Aug 2025
  • FluminenseFluminense1:0SantosSantos
    Serie A · 13 Apr 2025
  • SantosSantos0:3FluminenseFluminense
    Serie A · 29 Nov 2023
  • FluminenseFluminense1:0SantosSantos
    Serie A · 29 Jul 2023
  • SantosSantos2:2FluminenseFluminense
    Serie A · 02 Aug 2022
  • FluminenseFluminense0:0SantosSantos
    Serie A · 09 Apr 2022
  • SantosSantos2:0FluminenseFluminense
    Serie A · 27 Oct 2021
75%Over 0.575%
50%Over 1.550%
38%Over 2.538%
25%BTTS25%
63%Fluminense over 0.538%

Betting profits Fluminense vs Santos

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Fluminense

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.00615
Match WinnerDraw-2.19415
Match WinnerLose-1.66515
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5-0.2667
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5+0.2017
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+2.381215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.24315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+3.951215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.66615
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+6.53915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.90615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+10.01615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.96915
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-0.6624
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+0.0834
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-4.0004
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.5044

Santos

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+11.05815
Match WinnerDraw-1.10415
Match WinnerLose-9.50315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.891215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.20315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.651114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.60514
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.921015
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-6.28515
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.72911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.04811
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-4.48315
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.741215
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-3.37111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.291011
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-1.0001

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

FluminenseLast matches Fluminense

In the last 5 matches Fluminense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 20% D — 060% L — 3
  • FluminenseFluminense1:2PalmeirasPalmeiras
    LCONMEBOL Libertadores · 15 Oct 2026
  • FlamengoFlamengo1:0FluminenseFluminense
    LSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • FluminenseFluminense4:0CoritibaCoritiba
    WSerie A · 09 Oct 2026
  • CorinthiansCorinthians1:3FluminenseFluminense
    WSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
  • PlatensePlatense2:1FluminenseFluminense
    LCONMEBOL Libertadores · 15 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

SantosLast matches Santos

In the last 5 matches Santos have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 100% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG2:1SantosSantos
    LSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
  • SantosSantos2:2FlamengoFlamengo
    DSerie A · 08 Oct 2026
  • Sao PauloSao Paulo1:2SantosSantos
    WSerie A · 03 Oct 2026
  • remoremo1:2SantosSantos
    WSerie A · 19 Sept 2026
  • Atletico-MGAtletico-MG4:2SantosSantos
    LCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 16 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
100%
Over 2.5
100%
BTTS
100%

Fluminense vs Santos Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FlamengoFlamengo30197458-253364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras30189352-223063
3Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense30158749-351453
4FluminenseFluminense30149748-371151
5BahiaBahia301310744-36849
6CruzeiroCruzeiro301461046-44248
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG30138941-35647
8SantosSantos301191046-45142
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino301171238-35340
10Sao PauloSao Paulo301161335-35039
11CoritibaCoritiba301091138-48-1039
12VitoriaVitoria301061433-44-1136
13BotafogoBotafogo30991243-48-536
14Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama29981236-42-635
15MirassolMirassol30891334-44-1033
16CorinthiansCorinthians30881431-38-732
17InternacionalInternacional307111233-38-532
18GremioGremio307101332-40-831
19remoremo305101533-48-1525
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc29391730-61-3118
League position 4 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 8 / 20
1447%Wins37%11
930%Draws30%9
723%Losses33%10
48100%Goals scored96%46
3782%Goals conceded100%45
51100%Points82%42

Season statistic Fluminense vs Santos

FluminenseFluminense

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 2
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

SantosSantos

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 2
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee Ramon Abatti

Lineups

FluminenseFluminense

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

SantosSantos

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Fluminense

  • Guilherme Arana — Unavailable. Yellow Cards
  • Alisson — Unavailable. Hip Injury
  • G. Cano — Unavailable. Hamstring Injury
  • John Kennedy — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • Matheus Reis — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Santos

  • Arthur — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • Neymar — Unavailable. Inactive
  • Willian Arão — Unavailable. Yellow Cards
  • Gabriel Brazão — Unavailable. Shoulder Injury
  • Vinicius Rodrigues Lira — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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