Girona vs Almeria Prediction

I'm backing a draw here. Girona host Almeria on 8 November 2026 at 18:15, and I see a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. Girona have won three of their last four home matches and concede just 0.60 goals per game over their last ten outings, but they're missing David Lopez to suspension after his red card against Real Sociedad B. Almeria arrive in excellent form, collecting 26 points from their last ten matches with eight wins and two draws. They drew 1-1 with Eibar last weekend and remain in contention for top spot. I rate both teams' current trajectory too highly to pick a winner here.

Form and H2H

Girona's last ten shows six wins, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.70 goals for and 0.60 against. I'm impressed by their defensive solidity at home, but they struggled to create against Real Sociedad B with just 0.48 xG. Almeria's form is sharper: seven wins, three draws, and zero losses over their last ten, averaging 2.00 goals for and 0.80 against. I see their away record as particularly strong—four wins and a draw in their last five matches on the road. Both teams are playing well enough that I expect neither to break through decisively.

Best bet

I'm taking the draw at 3.72 on 1xBet. The underlying scoreline I expect is 1-1, which reflects Girona's defensive strength at home and Almeria's attacking quality without either team finding a decisive edge. I'll also pair this with Under 2.5 at 2.17, since Girona's defensive record and Almeria's recent pattern suggest a low-scoring affair. Both Teams Score at 1.58 completes my view: I expect one goal each, which means both sides will find the net but the total stays modest.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Girona at 1.77 as a hedge if I want home-side lean. Almeria +0.5 Asian Handicap sits at 2.9, which I'd consider if I wanted to back the visitors' form. The Over 2.5 at 1.72 is tempting if you believe Almeria's attacking power will overwhelm Girona's defence, but I don't. I prefer to stay with the draw and under-goals approach at the prices I've outlined.