Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda Prediction

I'm backing Tianjin Teda not to lose here. Henan Jianye sit 10th in a 16-team Super League table and have been genuinely poor this season. In their last six matches they've won once, lost once, and drawn four times. That 1–4 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua exposed how fragile their defence is, and a 2–2 draw with Sichuan Jiuniu last time out shows they still can't string together convincing performances. I see a team grinding through the season without direction.

Tianjin Teda, by contrast, have won six of their last ten matches. My read is that the away side's form and defensive record make them heavy favourites here on 16 October 2026 at 14:35. Henan's instability is the real story.

Form and H2H

I've looked at the head-to-head record and it tells me Tianjin have the upper hand. In their six meetings since 2017, Tianjin have won three times, Henan once, and they've drawn twice. More importantly, Tianjin won both of their most recent encounters—2–0 in August 2019 and 2–0 in August 2019 before that. I see a pattern of Tianjin controlling these fixtures.

My last-ten form numbers show Henan averaging 1.30 goals for and 1.50 against. Tianjin average 1.50 for and just 0.99 against. That defensive solidity away from home is exactly what I want to see when I'm betting on them not to lose.

Best bet

I'm taking Tianjin Teda not to lose at 1.81 on the 1X2 market. That price reflects a home win for Henan, and I don't see it. I could also look at the Asian Handicap away at 3.42, which gives Tianjin a quarter-goal start, but the straight win odds feel right for what I expect: either a Tianjin victory or a low-scoring draw.

I'm also interested in Under 2.5 goals at 1.90. Henan's last ten matches average 2.80 total goals, which is modest. Tianjin's defensive record away is strong. I'll pair that with my main pick if I'm building a parlay.

Odds to watch

Both Teams Score at 1.79 is tempting given Henan's recent draws, but I'm not confident enough in their attack to chase it. I'd rather stay disciplined on the Tianjin no-loss at 1.81 and the Under 2.5 at 1.90.

If I wanted to shade towards a draw, the X at 3.75 is available, but my data suggests Tianjin's away form is too strong to settle for that price. I'm sticking with the home win odds for Tianjin at 1.81 as my core play.