English Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction

- : -18 October 2026 at 14:00England
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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 16 Oct 2026Updated: 17 Oct 2026, 04:30

Match preview

I see Leeds as genuine threats at Elland Road on 18 October 2026 at 16:00. They've just taken Arsenal to the wire in the first half before losing 2-1, and their home record is sharp: they're conceding only 0.5 goals per game at Elland Road lately. Manchester United arrive in Yorkshire without a win in four league matches, and I'm backing them to struggle again. United have won nothing on the road recently and are averaging just one goal scored per game away from home. The quality gap between these sides isn't wide enough to overcome United's current form and travel troubles. I'm predicting Leeds United 2 - 2 Manchester United.

Form and H2H

Leeds impressed me in their last outing despite the 2-1 loss to Arsenal, and I rate their home setup as one of the Premier League's toughest to break down right now. The 0.5 goals conceded per game at Elland Road is the kind of metric I trust when it's consistent. Manchester United's four-game winless run is a real problem for my confidence in them here, and I'm concerned by their away record. One goal per game on the road tells me their attack isn't firing when it matters, and I expect that trend to continue against a Leeds side that's organized at home.

Best bet

I'm taking Leeds United 2 - 2 Manchester United as my main prediction. I'll also back Both Teams to Score at 1.52 on 1xBet because I expect Leeds to break through at home while United will create chances despite their struggles. Over 2.5 goals at 1.71 appeals to me given the attacking talent on both sides and Leeds' willingness to play forward. The draw element reflects United's quality and their ability to salvage something on the road, even if they're not winning.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the 1xBet prices closely. The home win sits at 2.42, the draw at 3.7, and the away win at 3.01. I prefer the draw at 3.7 over backing Leeds outright because I think United will equalize. Asian Handicap -0.25 for Leeds at 2.08 is interesting if I want to back the hosts with a safety net. Both Teams to Score at 1.52 is my strongest conviction play, and I'll pair it with Over 2.5 at 1.71 to build a case for a high-scoring draw.

Leeds vs Manchester United Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.423.73.01Place a bet
Best odds2.423.703.01
Average2.423.703.01
Lowest odds2.423.703.01
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Leeds vs Manchester United

Date and time 18 October 2026 at 14:00

1X223.01
BTTSYes70%

Competitive fixture

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Leeds vs Manchester United Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

LeedsLeedsLast matchesManchester UnitedManchester U.
80%Over 0.5 goals100%
80%Over 1.5 goals80%
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
80%BTTS60%
80%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Leeds — Manchester United

In the last 8 meetings, Manchester United hold the edge — 1 wins for Leeds, 3 for Manchester United, 4 draws.

13% W — 150% D — 438% W — 3
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United1:1LeedsLeeds
    Friendlies Clubs · 12 Aug 2026
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United1:2LeedsLeeds
    Premier League · 13 Apr 2026
  • LeedsLeeds1:1Manchester UnitedManchester United
    Premier League · 04 Jan 2026
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United0:0LeedsLeeds
    Friendlies Clubs · 19 Jul 2025
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United2:0LeedsLeeds
    Friendlies Clubs · 12 Jul 2023
  • LeedsLeeds0:2Manchester UnitedManchester United
    Premier League · 12 Feb 2023
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United2:2LeedsLeeds
    Premier League · 08 Feb 2023
  • LeedsLeeds2:4Manchester UnitedManchester United
    Premier League · 20 Feb 2022
88%Over 0.588%
88%Over 1.588%
38%Over 2.538%
63%BTTS63%
63%Leeds over 0.588%

Betting profits Leeds vs Manchester U.

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Leeds

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+5.57612
Match WinnerDraw-0.98312
Match WinnerLose-7.24312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.9869
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+2.8969
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.23612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.12612
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-2.26612
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.65812
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.31412
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.78812
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+0.7723
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.7323
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.5667
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.6417
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+2.4012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.8812

Manchester United

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-7.96414
Match WinnerDraw+1.90414
Match WinnerLose+12.45614
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-3.45511
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+3.91611
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-3.08714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.63814
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-1.73614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.68814
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.23512
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-0.41912
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+2.3823
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.3113
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-0.1967
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+0.3347
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.1111
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-1.0001

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

LeedsLast matches Leeds

In the last 5 matches Leeds have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • ArsenalArsenal2:1LeedsLeeds
    LPremier League · 10 Oct 2026
  • LeedsLeeds0:0Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
    DPremier League · 20 Sept 2026
  • LeedsLeeds4:1NewcastleNewcastle
    WPremier League · 14 Sept 2026
  • ChelseaChelsea6:3LeedsLeeds
    LLeague Cup · 09 Sept 2026
  • BrightonBrighton1:1LeedsLeeds
    DPremier League · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
80%

Manchester UnitedLast matches Manchester United

Manchester United have not won in the last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).

0% W — 040% D — 260% L — 3
  • Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid2:0Manchester UnitedManchester United
    LUEFA Champions League · 13 Oct 2026
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United1:1TottenhamTottenham
    DPremier League · 10 Oct 2026
  • FulhamFulham1:1Manchester UnitedManchester United
    DPremier League · 20 Sept 2026
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United2:3BrightonBrighton
    LLeague Cup · 16 Sept 2026
  • Manchester UnitedManchester United0:1Manchester CityManchester City
    LPremier League · 13 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
60%

Leeds vs Manchester United Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Manchester CityManchester City660016-51118
2ArsenalArsenal650110-5515
3BrightonBrighton641118-51313
4BrentfordBrentford624012-6610
5EvertonEverton62408-5310
6ChelseaChelsea631215-13210
7LeedsLeeds62318-539
8Hull CityHull City62318-629
9LiverpoolLiverpool62317-709
10IpswichIpswich63039-12-39
11NewcastleNewcastle622210-13-38
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace62139-12-37
13Manchester UnitedManchester United61329-906
14CoventryCoventry62045-11-66
15Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest61235-8-35
16Aston VillaAston Villa61236-11-55
17SunderlandSunderland61146-12-64
18BournemouthBournemouth60337-13-63
19TottenhamTottenham60333-9-63
20FulhamFulham60246-10-42
League position 7 / 20Comparative team statisticsLeague position 13 / 20
233%Wins17%1
350%Draws50%3
117%Losses33%2
889%Goals scored100%9
556%Goals conceded100%9
9100%Points67%6

Season statistic Leeds vs Manchester United

LeedsLeeds

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 2
  • Goals scored 9 (1.8)
  • Goals conceded 10 (2.0)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Manchester UnitedManchester U.

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 8 (1.6)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Elland Road, Leeds
  • Referee Darren England

Lineups

LeedsLeeds

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Leeds

  • J. Rodon — Unavailable. Muscle Injury
  • D. James — Unavailable. Back Injury
  • M. Joseph — Unavailable. Knee Injury

Manchester United

  • N. Mazraoui — Unavailable. Injury
  • L. Shaw — Unavailable. Injury
  • T. Heaton — Unavailable. Abdominal strain
  • M. Ugarte — Unavailable. Knee Injury
  • B. Sesko — Unavailable. Leg Injury
  • K. Mainoo — Unavailable. Injury
  • P. Dorgu — Unavailable. Hamstring Injury

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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