I'm backing Suriname to win this friendly 2-1 on 12 November 2026 at 20:00. Lithuania come in off a 1-0 Nations League loss to Azerbaijan where they created almost nothing, mustering just 1.05 expected goals. That's the kind of performance that tells me their attack is broken right now. Mindaugas Cepas' side has scored only 0.8 goals per game across their last five home matches, which is alarming for a team trying to build momentum heading into the winter break.
Suriname lost their last match too, going down 1-0 to Guatemala in CONCACAF Nations League play, but I see a sharper attacking unit here. They've averaged 1.5 goals per game over their last ten outings, and that's the kind of output that troubles defences. I expect them to impose themselves on a Lithuania team that's misfiring in front of goal.
Form and H2H
I'm looking at Lithuania's home record over their last ten matches: three wins, three draws, four losses, averaging 1.01 goals for and 0.85 against. That's a team struggling to break down opponents and vulnerable on the counter. They've had chances but haven't finished them, and that pattern will likely continue against a Suriname side that's more clinical.
Suriname's away form tells me they're the real threat here. Over their last ten matches, I see four wins, three draws, three losses, with 1.49 goals for and 1.20 against. They're scoring on the road and they're conceding too, which points toward an open match. I also note that 83% of Suriname's recent away matches have featured goals at both ends, so I'm confident both teams will find the net.
Best bet
I'm taking Suriname to win 2-1. Lithuania's offensive impotence at home and Suriname's superior attacking threat make this the obvious play for me. I'd also back Both Teams Score given how Suriname's away fixtures have played out recently, and I'd look at Over 1.5 goals as a supporting bet since I expect this to be an open game where both sides create chances.
Without live 1xBet prices available for this match, I can't quote exact odds, but I'd be looking to get on this pick as soon as the market opens and prices are published.
Odds to watch
I'll be monitoring the 1xBet market when it goes live for this fixture. I want to see the Home win, Draw, and Away win prices to find the best value on Suriname. I'm also interested in the Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 lines, as well as Both Teams Score, since my read is that this match will be competitive and open.
The Asian Handicap markets will matter too if I'm looking to shade my exposure. I'll check those prices when they're published and adjust my staking accordingly based on where the value sits.

