Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10

Moreirense vs Estrela Prediction

- : -31 October 2026 at 15:30Portugal
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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 29 Oct 2026Updated: 29 Oct 2026, 21:30

Match preview

I'm backing a draw here. Moreirense beat Estoril 3-1 last time out and want to push into the top half, but their home record is patchy. Estrela arrive in freefall—three straight league losses, including a 2-0 hammering by Casa Pia—yet they've been leaky at the back and haven't kept a clean sheet in recent matches. I see this as a match where Moreirense's attacking threat meets Estrela's defensive fragility, but the visitors' away form is sharp enough to grab goals. A 2-2 finish feels like the most likely outcome on 31 October 2026 at 18:30.

Form and H2H

Moreirense have momentum on their side after that 3-1 win over Estoril. I rate their attacking intent, and they're chasing a spot in the upper reaches of the table. Their home form wobbles, though, which is where I see the danger. Estrela are in genuine trouble—three defeats on the bounce have them struggling—but I've noted their away matches average 3.8 goals per game. That's a real attacking threat, and it tells me they won't roll over at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. My read is that both sides will find the net.

Best bet

I'm taking Moreirense 2-2 Estrela at the price I see here. The draw at 3.39 is where I'd start, but I'm more confident in the exact scoreline. Moreirense have the home advantage and recent form, yet Estrela's away potency and defensive issues point to goals at both ends. I'll also look at Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Both Teams Score at 1.72 on 1xBet. Those three bets stack the same logic: this is a match that opens up and produces chances for both teams.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for the home win at 2.49 on 1xBet if I want to back Moreirense without committing to a full three points. The away side at 2.06 is tempting if I shift my view toward a Estrela result. Both Teams Score at 1.72 is my secondary play—I expect Moreirense to score from open play and Estrela to capitalize on the space left behind. Under 2.5 sits at 1.88, but I'm not taking that; I see this as a 2-2 or a high-scoring affair.

Moreirense vs Estrela Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet3.043.392.45Place a bet
Best odds3.043.392.45
Average3.043.392.45
Lowest odds3.043.392.45
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Moreirense vs Estrela

Date and time 31 October 2026 at 15:30

1X222.4539%
DCX/268%
BTTSYes50%
1 32%X 29%2 39%

Estrela win

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Moreirense vs Estrela Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

MoreirenseMoreirenseLast matchesEstrelaEstrela
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Moreirense — Estrela

In the last 8 meetings, Moreirense hold the edge — 3 wins for Moreirense, 1 for Estrela, 4 draws.

38% W — 350% D — 413% W — 1
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 May 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 20 Dec 2025
  • MoreirenseMoreirense1:1EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 02 Mar 2025
  • EstrelaEstrela2:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 28 Sept 2024
  • MoreirenseMoreirense2:2EstrelaEstrela
    Primeira Liga · 07 Apr 2024
  • EstrelaEstrela0:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    Primeira Liga · 11 Nov 2023
  • EstrelaEstrela2:4MoreirenseMoreirense
    Segunda Liga · 06 May 2023
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:0EstrelaEstrela
    Segunda Liga · 31 Dec 2022
75%Over 0.575%
63%Over 1.563%
50%Over 2.550%
63%BTTS63%
75%Moreirense over 0.563%

Betting profits Moreirense vs Estrela

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Moreirense

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-0.27412
Match WinnerDraw-3.59212
Match WinnerLose+0.19612
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.21912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-3.37312
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.12710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.57510
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.89712
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.52512
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.1758
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.8458
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.4859
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-3.7049
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-5.0005
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.8655
Goals Over/UnderOver 0.5+0.3033
Goals Over/UnderUnder 0.5-3.0003

Estrela

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.41411
Match WinnerDraw+4.92411
Match WinnerLose-0.37311
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+2.3289
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-4.0239
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+4.19710
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-4.16310
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+3.0969
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-2.4359
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+1.6089
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-5.1319
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+8.16510
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.85510
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+8.2227
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.3157
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.4311

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

MoreirenseLast matches Moreirense

In the last 5 matches Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 220% D — 140% L — 2
  • EstorilEstoril1:3MoreirenseMoreirense
    WPrimeira Liga · 25 Oct 2026
  • AVSAVS1:0MoreirenseMoreirense
    LTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense0:1GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
    LPrimeira Liga · 09 Oct 2026
  • Vitória SCVitória SC1:1MoreirenseMoreirense
    DPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • MoreirenseMoreirense3:1MaritimoMaritimo
    WPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

EstrelaLast matches Estrela

In the last 5 matches Estrela have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 120% D — 160% L — 3
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Casa PiaCasa Pia
    LPrimeira Liga · 24 Oct 2026
  • FazendenseFazendense1:2EstrelaEstrela
    WTaça de Portugal · 17 Oct 2026
  • AroucaArouca1:0EstrelaEstrela
    LPrimeira Liga · 11 Oct 2026
  • EstrelaEstrela0:2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu
    LPrimeira Liga · 20 Sept 2026
  • Rio AveRio Ave3:3EstrelaEstrela
    DPrimeira Liga · 14 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals / game
1.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Moreirense vs Estrela Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1FC PortoFC Porto990021-41727
2BenficaBenfica971126-81822
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121-111018
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113-6718
5AroucaArouca952212-7517
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213-11217
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238-7114
8AlvercaAlverca932413-13011
9SC BragaSC Braga93249-11-211
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411-16-511
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314-11310
12EstrelaEstrela924314-17-310
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510-1008
14MaritimoMaritimo92259-19-108
15NacionalNacional921610-18-87
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165-17-127
17Rio AveRio Ave92168-21-137
18EstorilEstoril90275-15-102
League position 10 / 18Comparative team statisticsLeague position 12 / 18
333%Wins22%2
222%Draws44%4
444%Losses33%3
1179%Goals scored100%14
1694%Goals conceded100%17
11100%Points91%10

Season statistic Moreirense vs Estrela

MoreirenseMoreirense

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 2

EstrelaEstrela

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 2 / 1
  • Goals scored 5 (1.0)
  • Goals conceded 9 (1.8)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Match details

  • Status Not Started
  • Venue Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas, Guimarães
  • Referee Joao Pinheiro

Lineups

MoreirenseMoreirense

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

EstrelaEstrela

Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.

Injuries and suspensions

Moreirense

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Estrela

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

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