I'm backing Norrköping not to lose on 25 October 2026 at 15:00. Norrby has collapsed in the stretch. Four defeats in their last six matches tells me everything about where this team stands right now. They beat Ester 2-0, sure, but that was a blip. Since then they've lost to Varberg, Lungskile, Landskrona, and United Nordic. The 1-2 defeat to United Nordic last time out exposed the rot in their defence. Ugo Tilly scored early for Norrby on 11 minutes with help from Kevin Liimatanen, but one goal doesn't win matches when your backline is giving away chances like they're going out of style. Six goals for and nine against in their last stretch of games—that's a team in freefall.
I see a team that's bleeding points and confidence. Norrby's last-10 record shows two wins, two draws, and six losses. They're averaging 0.90 goals for and 1.30 against per game. That's not a side built to win matches. Norrköping, by contrast, has won five of their last ten and hasn't lost once in that run. I'm taking the away side here.
Form and H2H
I've looked at the head-to-head and I see a pattern that favours Norrköping. In March 2026 they drew 1-1 at home. Three months later in June, Norrköping went to Norrby and won 1-0. That's the trajectory I'm interested in—Norrköping improving, Norrby stalling.
My read of the form data confirms it. Norrköping's last-10 shows five wins, five draws, and zero losses. They're averaging 1.90 goals for and 0.80 against. I'm looking at a team that's solid defensively and clinical in attack. Norrby, meanwhile, has been shipping goals and creating very little. The profit trends back this up too—Norrköping's draw bets are showing +7.83 over the sample, and their over 1.5 team total is at +3.09. Norrby's home win bets are at -6.43. The market has already priced in what I'm seeing.
Best bet
I'm taking Norrköping not to lose at 1.60 on the Asian Handicap -0.25. That's my main play. At that price I get paid if Norrköping wins or draws, and I only lose if Norrby wins outright. Given Norrby's form and Norrköping's unbeaten run, I like those odds.
I could also layer in Both Teams Score no at 2.35. Norrby's defence is leaking but their attack is misfiring—they've scored just 0.90 per game in their last ten. Norrköping's backline has been tight at 0.80 goals conceded per game. I don't expect a high-scoring mess here. The Under 2.5 is at 2.27 if you want to go that route instead.
Odds to watch
The 1X2 shows Norrköping at 1.88 for the away win. That's reasonable given the form gap, but I prefer the Asian Handicap -0.25 at 1.60 because it gives me the draw as an out. If you want to be more aggressive, the home win is 3.56—I wouldn't touch it given Norrby's recent record.
I'm also tracking the Over 2.5 at 1.58. That's tempting if you think Norrköping will score multiple and Norrby gets one back, but I don't see it. Both Teams Score yes is 1.53, which prices in a competitive match. I think Norrköping wins to nil or draws 0-0 more often than not. The Under 2.5 at 2.27 is the better value if I'm layering in a second bet alongside the AH -0.25.

