I'm backing Notts County to win 2-1 at home on 24 October 2026 at 17:00. Notts County have won four of their last ten matches and concede just 1.20 goals per game on average. Stockport arrive as the away side with seven wins in ten, but I see a vulnerability in their defensive record when travelling. Stockport have shipped 0.80 goals per game on the road, and I expect Notts County to exploit that at Meadow Lane.
The head-to-head record shows Notts County have won three of the last six meetings, including a 2-1 victory at home in October 2021. I'm confident in a repeat scoreline here because Notts County's home form is solid and Stockport's away defence has shown cracks despite their strong attacking output of 2.10 goals per game.
Form and H2H
I've studied the last ten matches for both sides, and the numbers tell me Notts County are stronger at home than their overall record suggests. They average 1.40 goals for and 1.20 against in that stretch. Stockport's away form is deceptive: they score 2.10 per game but concede 0.80, which means they're vulnerable to teams that can break through their backline.
My read of the head-to-head is that Notts County have the measure of Stockport on their own pitch. The 2-1 scoreline has already occurred twice in this fixture, most recently in October 2021. I'm not swayed by Stockport's recent 5-2 win in April 2024 because that was away from home, and I expect Notts County to be far more organised and compact at Meadow Lane.
Best bet
I'm taking Notts County to win at 4.99 on the 1X2 market. That price reflects the away side's strong recent form, but I believe it undervalues Notts County's home advantage and their defensive solidity. I'll also back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.78 because both teams have shown they can score, and I expect an open match with chances at both ends.
My main play is the correct score of 2-1 to Notts County. I'm confident in that exact outcome based on the head-to-head pattern and the underlying form. Both Teams to Score at 1.78 on 1xBet is another angle I like, as Stockport's attacking threat is real even if their defence is porous.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Notts County at 4.14 on 1xBet, which gives me a safety net if the match ends in a draw. The Under 2.5 Goals line sits at 1.97, and I'm avoiding that because I expect at least three goals in this match. The Home win on the 1X2 at 4.99 remains my primary selection.
I'll also keep an eye on Both Teams to Score Yes at 1.78, as that aligns with my expectation of an attacking game where Notts County break down Stockport's away defence and Stockport find the net in response. The Draw at 3.9 doesn't appeal to me given the head-to-head evidence and Notts County's home record.

