AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 4

Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr Prediction

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Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 01 Nov 2026Updated: 02 Nov 2026, 15:47

Match preview

I'm backing both teams to score when Pakhtakor host Al-Nassr on 2 November 2026 at 16:45. Al-Nassr have the superior squad and Cristiano Ronaldo is in exceptional form, but I see real value in Pakhtakor finding the net. The Uzbek hosts have already scored against two Saudi opponents in this tournament—draws of 1-1 against Al Ahli and Al Qadsiah—and they've shown they can stay organized and convert chances late in matches. Al-Nassr's defensive record is the real story here. They've conceded five goals in their opening two AFC Champions League Elite fixtures and allowed Al Kholood to score three times in their most recent league match. I'm not convinced Postecoglou's side will keep a clean sheet, even against modest opposition.

Form and H2H

Pakhtakor have two points from three continental matches. My read is that their draws against Al Ahli and Al Qadsiah represent genuine competitive performances rather than lucky results. They've avoided defeat at home in this tournament and just beat Xorazm Urganch 1-0 domestically on 30 October with a late goal from Mukhammad-Bobur Karimov. I see a pattern of finding important moments when it matters. Al-Nassr sit on three points from two games after that heavy 4-0 loss to Al Ain, then a 3-1 win over Neftchi Fergana. Their domestic form is explosive—they hammered Al Kholood 5-3 on 29 October with Ronaldo scoring a hat-trick in 15 minutes of the second half and João Félix providing four assists. The problem for me is that this attacking firepower comes with a porous backline.

Best bet

I'm taking Both Teams to Score - Yes. I don't have the exact 1xBet price in front of me for this fixture, but this is the pick I'm confident in. My reasoning is straightforward: Al-Nassr will create chances and likely score—Ronaldo, Félix, and Mané are too good not to. But Pakhtakor have already proven they can breach Saudi defenses in this competition, and Al-Nassr's vulnerability at the back is well documented. One successful counterattack or set piece from the hosts is all I need. Both teams scoring gives me the best value proposition in this match.

Odds to watch

I'd monitor the Over/Under markets closely once 1xBet publishes their full card for this fixture. Given Al-Nassr's attacking output and Pakhtakor's ability to score on the break, I'm interested in goals lines above 2.5. The Asian Handicap markets will also tell me something about where the sharp money sits. If Al-Nassr are heavily favored in the 1X2, that could be a trap—Pakhtakor's home record in this tournament and their proven ability to frustrate stronger teams makes backing them to avoid defeat or find the net appealing value.

Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

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1X2 prediction for Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr

Date and time 2 November 2026 at 13:45

1X22
BTTSYes60%

Competitive fixture

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Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

PakhtakorPakhtakorLast matchesAl-NassrAl-Nassr
100%Over 0.5 goals100%
60%Over 1.5 goals80%
20%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Over 3.5 goals60%
60%BTTS60%
60%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Pakhtakor — Al-Nassr

In the last 1 meetings, Al-Nassr hold the edge — 0 wins for Pakhtakor, 1 for Al-Nassr, 0 draws.

0% W — 00% D — 0100% W — 1
  • PakhtakorPakhtakor2:6Al-NassrAl-Nassr
    AFC Champions League Elite · 02 Nov 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Pakhtakor over 0.5100%

Betting profits Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Pakhtakor

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-3.00715
Match WinnerDraw+9.25515
Match WinnerLose-6.60315
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.0146
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+0.0726
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-1.56812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+1.16612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.70715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+2.36815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.54310
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.37710
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.09614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+2.701114
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-2.0013
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+0.7833
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.0002
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.5322

Al-Nassr

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.251115
Match WinnerDraw-8.86115
Match WinnerLose-4.14315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.2822
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.0012
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.521215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-8.02315
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+1.481114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-4.48714
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-0.54715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.79815
Goals Over/UnderOver 4-3.38410
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4+1.34810
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.32213
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+1.491113
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.16910
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.97110

Match statistics

5151%Possession %49%49
1.6442%Expected goals58%2.28
1653%Total shots47%14
538%Shots on target62%8
758%Shots off target42%5
758%Corners42%5
650%Fouls50%6
2100%Yellow cards0%0
00%Red cards0%0
43449%Passes51%444
35850%Accurate passes50%365
240%Saves60%3
360%Offsides40%2

Key events

  • 15'
    Goal
    Al-Nassr
  • 17'
    Goal João Félix
    Al-Nassr
  • 26'
    Goal cancelled A. Mozgovoy
    Pakhtakor
  • 32'
    Yellow card Mukhammad-Bobur Karimov
    Pakhtakor
  • 32'
    Goal João Félix
    Al-Nassr
  • 36'
    Goal Flamarion
    Pakhtakor
  • 45'
    Substitution Ayman Yahya (→ Abdulrahman Ghareeb)
    Al-Nassr
  • 53'
    Goal Abdulelah Al Amri (João Félix)
    Al-Nassr
  • 57'
    Yellow card S. Nasrullayev
    Pakhtakor
  • 60'
    Substitution S. Sobirkho'jaev (→ I. Ibragimov)
    Pakhtakor
  • 60'
    Substitution B. Resan (→ D. Khamdamov)
    Pakhtakor
  • 62'
    Goal Abdulrahman Ghareeb (S. Mané)
    Al-Nassr
  • 68'
    Substitution João Félix (→ Abdullah Al Khaibari)
    Al-Nassr
  • 68'
    Substitution Nawaf Boushal (→ R. Al Ghamdi)
    Al-Nassr
  • 71'
    Substitution S. Chinedu (→ Aymen Hussein)
    Pakhtakor
  • 71'
    Substitution Abdurauf Bo'riyev (→ O. Bozorov)
    Pakhtakor
  • 75'
    Goal D. Khamdamov
    Pakhtakor
  • 76'
    Substitution S. Mané (→ Sami Al Naji)
    Al-Nassr
  • 79'
    Goal Ângelo
    Al-Nassr
  • 87'
    Substitution Abdullah Al Hamdan (→ A. Sufyani)
    Al-Nassr
  • 90+1'
    Substitution Flamarion (→ Kuvanishbek Saydaliev)
    Pakhtakor

PakhtakorLast matches Pakhtakor

In the last 5 matches Pakhtakor have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2
  • XorazmXorazm0:1PakhtakorPakhtakor
    WSuper League · 30 Oct 2026
  • Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya1:0PakhtakorPakhtakor
    LAFC Champions League Elite · 26 Oct 2026
  • PakhtakorPakhtakor1:3NeftchiNeftchi
    LSuper League · 23 Oct 2026
  • NavbahorNavbahor1:1PakhtakorPakhtakor
    DSuper League · 17 Oct 2026
  • PakhtakorPakhtakor1:1Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC
    DAFC Champions League Elite · 12 Oct 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals / game
0.8
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
60%

Al-NassrLast matches Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr are in a strong run: 5 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 3.0 goals per game.

100% W — 50% D — 00% L — 0
  • Al-NassrAl-Nassr5:3Al KholoodAl Kholood
    WPro League · 29 Oct 2026
  • Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1:3Al-NassrAl-Nassr
    WPro League · 23 Oct 2026
  • Al-NassrAl-Nassr1:0NEOMNEOM
    WPro League · 20 Oct 2026
  • Al-NassrAl-Nassr3:1NeftchiNeftchi
    WAFC Champions League Elite · 12 Oct 2026
  • Al-NassrAl-Nassr3:0Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
    WPro League · 09 Oct 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
5
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals / game
3.0
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
60%

Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Al AinAl Ain330010-289
2Shabab Al Ahli DubaiShabab Al Ahli Dubai33005-149
3Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah32106-337
4Esteghlal FCEsteghlal FC32015-326
5Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC32015-416
6Al ShamalAl Shamal31204-225
7Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC31204-315
8Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC31114-404
9Al-NassrAl-Nassr21013-5-23
10NeftchiNeftchi31023-5-23
11Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl Quwa Al Jawiya31022-5-33
12PakhtakorPakhtakor30212-3-12
13Tractor SaziTractor Sazi30121-3-21
14Al SaddAl Sadd30121-6-51
15Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa30033-6-30
16Al-Wasl FCAl-Wasl FC20022-5-30
1KashimaKashima330011-1109
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe33005-149
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka32108-357
4Johor Darul Takzim FCJohor Darul Takzim FC32106-157
5Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan32106-337
6Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga32016-336
7Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol31116-334
8SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG31119-814
9Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen31112-204
10Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors31114-5-14
11Công An Nhân DânCông An Nhân Dân31024-7-33
12Buriram UnitedBuriram United30212-3-12
13RatchaburiRatchaburi30124-7-31
14Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers30031-8-70
15Port FCPort FC30032-10-80
16Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets30034-15-110
League position 12 / 32Comparative team statisticsLeague position 9 / 32
133%Wins50%1
267%Draws0%0
133%Losses50%1
267%Goals scored100%3
360%Goals conceded100%5
267%Points100%3

Season statistic Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr

PakhtakorPakhtakor

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 1
  • Lost home / away 1 / 1
  • Goals scored 4 (0.8)
  • Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
  • Clean sheets 1
  • Failed to score 1

Al-NassrAl-Nassr

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 4 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 15 (3.0)
  • Goals conceded 5 (1.0)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 0

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium, Tashkent
  • Referee Alexander King

Lineups

PakhtakorPakhtakor · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. Mukhammad-Bobur Karimov
  2. Flamarion
  3. S. Sobirkho'jaev
  4. S. Nasrullayev
  5. A. Mozgovoy
  6. S. Chinedu
  7. Zayed Tahseen
  8. Abdurauf Bo'riyev
  9. V. Nazarov
  10. M. Abdumajidov
  11. B. Resan

Bench

  1. Abubakir Shukurullaev
  2. D Tulaganov
  3. Aymen Hussein
  4. S. Kuvvatov
  5. D. Khamdamov
  6. O. Bozorov
  7. D. Saitov
  8. I. Ibragimov
  9. D. Abdullayev
  10. M. Dilshodbekov
  11. D. Ermanov
  12. Kuvanishbek Saydaliev

Al-NassrAl-Nassr · 4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. S. Mané
  2. João Félix
  3. Íñigo Martínez
  4. Bento
  5. Abdullah Al Hamdan
  6. Abdulelah Al Amri
  7. Nawaf Boushal
  8. Ayman Yahya
  9. Samú Costa
  10. Ângelo
  11. Awad Aman

Bench

  1. Abdulhadi Al Alwan
  2. Abdullah Al Khaibari
  3. Abdulrahman Ghareeb
  4. Sami Al Naji
  5. Saad Al Nasser
  6. Salem Al Najdi
  7. Majed Qasheesh
  8. Hayder Abdulkareem
  9. R. Al Ghamdi
  10. A. Sufyani
  11. A. Al Otaibi

Injuries and suspensions

Pakhtakor

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Al-Nassr

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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