I'm backing Palmeiras to win this second-leg semifinal. They hold a 2-1 advantage from the first meeting and need only avoid defeat to reach the Libertadores final, while Fluminense must overturn the deficit and score at least twice without conceding. Palmeiras have won four straight matches, including victories over three top-seven sides, and they've shown they can grind out narrow wins or put teams away decisively. Even when Andreas Pereira was sent off against Atlético Paranaense, they held firm and won 2-0. I see no reason to expect them to falter at home now.
CONMEBOL Libertadores · Semi-finals
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1.97 | 3.44 | 4.09 | Place a bet |
| Best odds | 1.97 | 3.44 | 4.09 | |
| Average | 1.97 | 3.44 | 4.09 | |
| Lowest odds | 1.97 | 3.44 | 4.09 |
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1X2 prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense
Date and time 22 October 2026 at 01:30
1 49%X 28%2 23%
Palmeiras win
Place a bet on this matchPalmeiras vs Fluminense Odds statistic
Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.
PalmeirasLast matches
FluminenseHead to Head Palmeiras — Fluminense
In the last 8 meetings, Palmeiras hold the edge — 4 wins for Palmeiras, 3 for Fluminense, 1 draws.
50% W — 413% D — 138% W — 3
- CONMEBOL Libertadores · 15 Oct 2026Fluminense1:2Palmeiras
- Serie A · 15 Aug 2026Fluminense3:2Palmeiras
- Serie A · 26 Feb 2026Palmeiras2:1Fluminense
- Serie A · 23 Nov 2025Palmeiras0:0Fluminense
- Serie A · 23 Jul 2025Fluminense1:2Palmeiras
- Serie A · 08 Dec 2024Palmeiras0:1Fluminense
- Serie A · 25 Jul 2024Fluminense1:0Palmeiras
- Serie A · 03 Dec 2023Palmeiras1:0Fluminense
Betting profits Palmeiras vs Fluminense
Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.
Palmeiras
| Market | Outcome | P/L | Wins | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | Win | +1.50 | 9 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Draw | -1.46 | 4 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Lose | -9.41 | 2 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 | -2.47 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1.5 | +7.17 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2 | -0.61 | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2 | +1.97 | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 | -0.87 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2.5 | +2.01 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3.5 | +1.73 | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 | -0.55 | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 0.5 | +0.35 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 0.5 | -3.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3 | -4.37 | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3 | +2.33 | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4.5 | +4.63 | 2 | 10 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4.5 | -0.95 | 8 | 10 |
Fluminense
| Market | Outcome | P/L | Wins | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | Win | -1.00 | 6 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Draw | -2.19 | 4 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Lose | -2.17 | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 | +2.16 | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1.5 | -5.24 | 3 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2 | +3.51 | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2 | -4.66 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 | +5.85 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2.5 | -4.90 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3 | -0.66 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3 | +0.08 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3.5 | +5.31 | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 | -2.54 | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4.5 | -5.00 | 0 | 5 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4.5 | +0.65 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 0.5 | -0.36 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 0.5 | +1.20 | 1 | 6 |
Match statistics
In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.
Last matches Palmeiras
Palmeiras are in a strong run: 4 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game.
80% W — 420% D — 10% L — 0
- WSerie A · 17 Oct 2026
Atletico Paranaense0:2Palmeiras - WCONMEBOL Libertadores · 15 Oct 2026Fluminense1:2Palmeiras
- WSerie A · 11 Oct 2026Palmeiras4:1
Corinthians - WSerie A · 09 Oct 2026Palmeiras1:0
Bahia - DSerie A · 20 Sept 2026
Gremio0:0Palmeiras
Statistics for the last 5 games
- Matches
- 5
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals / game
- 1.8
- Over 1.5
- 60%
- Over 2.5
- 40%
- BTTS
- 40%
Last matches Fluminense
In the last 5 matches Fluminense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.
40% W — 20% D — 060% L — 3
- LSerie A · 18 Oct 2026Fluminense1:2
Santos - LCONMEBOL Libertadores · 15 Oct 2026Fluminense1:2Palmeiras
- LSerie A · 11 Oct 2026
Flamengo1:0Fluminense - WSerie A · 09 Oct 2026Fluminense4:0
Coritiba - WSerie A · 20 Sept 2026Corinthians1:3Fluminense
Statistics for the last 5 games
- Matches
- 5
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 3
- Goals / game
- 1.8
- Over 1.5
- 80%
- Over 2.5
- 80%
- BTTS
- 60%
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14-2 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6-5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Independiente Medellin | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | -5 | 7 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4-12 | -8 | 1 |
| 1 |  Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8-6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Deportes Tolima | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7-6 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 |  Club Nacional | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7-9 | -2 | 8 |
| 4 |  Universitario | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | -1 | 6 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15-6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7-7 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 |  Bolívar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6-8 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | -7 | 3 |
| 1 |  U. Catolica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8-4 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6-5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2-12 | -10 | 3 |
| 1 | Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 |  Platense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8-7 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6-7 | -1 | 8 |
| 4 |  Penarol | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | -4 | 3 |
| 1 |  Cerro Porteno | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6-2 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10-5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 |  Sporting Cristal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6-9 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Junior | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5-11 | -6 | 4 |
| 1 |  LDU de Quito | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8-5 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Mirassol | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7-4 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 |  Lanus | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3-7 | -4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Always Ready | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7-9 | -2 | 3 |
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11-6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9-1 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 |  UCV | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7-11 | -4 | 9 |
| 4 |  Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4-13 | -9 | 0 |
League position 2 / 32Comparative team statisticsLeague position 2 / 32
Season statistic Palmeiras vs Fluminense
Palmeiras
- Matches played 5
- Won home / away 2 / 2
- Lost home / away 0 / 0
- Goals scored 9 (1.8)
- Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
- Clean sheets 3
- Failed to score 1
Fluminense
- Matches played 5
- Won home / away 1 / 1
- Lost home / away 2 / 1
- Goals scored 9 (1.8)
- Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
- Clean sheets 1
- Failed to score 1
Match details
- Status Match Finished · Finished after penalties
- Venue Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
- Referee Esteban Ostojich
Lineups
Palmeiras
Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.
Fluminense
Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.
Injuries and suspensions
Palmeiras
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
Fluminense
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
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