Championship · Regular Season - 15

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction

1 : 2FTEngland
Aiden Brooks photo
Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 07 Nov 2026Updated: 07 Nov 2026, 22:09

Match preview

I'm backing Portsmouth 2–2 Stoke City on 7 November 2026 at 15:30. Portsmouth just beat Swansea 3–1 midweek and have won three straight at home. They're averaging 2.40 goals per game across their last five Fratton Park outings, which is genuinely dangerous form. Stoke won 2–1 away at Blackburn and have taken four of their last five on the road, conceding just 0.80 per game over their last ten. I see a draw here because both teams are too good to lose but neither has the edge to win outright.

Mark Robins has Ethan Galbraith back from suspension, a key midfielder who steadies the Potters' midfield. Portsmouth's injury list—Anderson, Bishop, Ogilvie, Swift—hasn't dented their output. I expect both sides to attack, both to score, and the match to finish level.

Form and H2H

Portsmouth's home form is the story here. I'm looking at five wins and four draws in their last ten at Fratton Park, losing just once. They're scoring 1.40 per game and conceding 0.80 across that run. Stoke's away record is equally sharp: seven wins, two draws, one loss, with 1.80 goals for and 0.80 against.

The head-to-head tells me this fixture swings wildly. I see Stoke's 6–1 demolition in October 2024, then Portsmouth's 3–1 win in April 2026, then Stoke's 1–0 victory last month. These teams punch each other in the mouth. My read is that form matters more than history here, and both are in peak condition.

Best bet

I'm taking Portsmouth 2–2 Stoke City at the correct score. I don't have a 1xBet price for this exact outcome in my table, but the logic is sound: Portsmouth average 2.40 at home, Stoke have scored in all five recent away games, and the head-to-head shows draws are common when both teams are sharp. Both sides will create chances. Neither will shut the other out.

I'll also consider Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals as supporting plays. Portsmouth's attacking threat at Fratton Park combined with Stoke's recent away form suggests a high-scoring draw is the most likely result.

Odds to watch

I don't have 1xBet's current odds table for this match, so I can't quote specific prices for the 1X2, Over/Under lines, Asian Handicaps, or Both Teams to Score markets. When those odds are available, I'll be looking at the draw price first—that's my core conviction—then layering in Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score as secondary positions to build my edge.

The profit trends show Portsmouth's home wins have returned 2.73 units over time, while draws have lost 0.54. For Stoke away, wins are up 5.67 units. The draw is the contrarian play here, which is exactly where I want to be given how evenly matched these teams look right now.

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Odds

Pre-match odds appear closer to kick-off when bookmakers open the market.

Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Portsmouth vs Stoke City

Date and time 7 November 2026 at 12:30

1X22
BTTSYes50%

Competitive fixture

Place a bet on this match

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

PortsmouthPortsmouthLast matchesStoke CityStoke City
80%Over 0.5 goals80%
60%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
20%Over 3.5 goals20%
60%BTTS40%
60%Last 5 BTTS40%

Head to Head Portsmouth — Stoke City

In the last 6 meetings, Stoke City hold the edge — 2 wins for Portsmouth, 4 for Stoke City, 0 draws.

33% W — 20% D — 067% W — 4
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth1:2Stoke CityStoke City
    Championship · 07 Nov 2026
  • Stoke CityStoke City1:3PortsmouthPortsmouth
    Championship · 25 Apr 2026
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth0:1Stoke CityStoke City
    Championship · 25 Oct 2025
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth3:1Stoke CityStoke City
    Championship · 22 Jan 2025
  • Stoke CityStoke City6:1PortsmouthPortsmouth
    Championship · 02 Oct 2024
  • Stoke CityStoke City3:0PortsmouthPortsmouth
    League Cup · 27 Aug 2014
100%Over 0.5100%
83%Over 1.583%
83%Over 2.583%
67%BTTS67%
67%Portsmouth over 0.5100%

Betting profits Portsmouth vs Stoke City

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Portsmouth

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+2.73615
Match WinnerDraw-0.54415
Match WinnerLose-2.88515
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.601115
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+1.14415
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+1.31815
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-0.60715
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+2.34713
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-1.08813
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+6.33615
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-2.58915
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-7.03114
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5+0.821314
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+1.88911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-3.97411

Stoke City

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin+5.67815
Match WinnerDraw-4.71315
Match WinnerLose-6.72415
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5+0.551215
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-4.48315
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.15811
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-1.03511
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5+2.65915
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5-3.39615
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-1.10813
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.201013
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-2.06415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-0.241115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.45214
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.411214

Match statistics

5555%Possession %45%45
0.7044%Expected goals56%0.88
867%Total shots33%4
350%Shots on target50%3
375%Shots off target25%1
00%Big chances100%1
7100%Corners0%0
1454%Fouls46%12
350%Yellow cards50%3
00%Red cards0%0
37354%Passes46%320
28055%Accurate passes45%227
133%Saves67%2
229%Offsides71%5

Key events

  • 6'
    Goal T. Shade
    Portsmouth
  • 22'
    Yellow card E. Adams
    Portsmouth
  • 29'
    Yellow card J. Tchamadeu
    Stoke City
  • 45+1'
    Yellow card R. Poole
    Portsmouth
  • 55'
    Yellow card R. Boženík
    Stoke City
  • 57'
    Substitution R. Boženík (→ G. Hirst)
    Stoke City
  • 57'
    Substitution J. Tchamadeu (→ L. Bombino)
    Stoke City
  • 59'
    Goal J. McGlynn (L. Bombino)
    Stoke City
  • 65'
    Substitution A. Segecic (→ T. Waddingham)
    Portsmouth
  • 72'
    Yellow card E. Galbraith
    Stoke City
  • 75'
    Substitution J. Meghoma (→ Z. Swanson)
    Portsmouth
  • 75'
    Substitution J. Meghoma (→ Z. Swanson)
    Portsmouth
  • 77'
    Goal B. Wilmot
    Stoke City
  • 81'
    Substitution A. Kamara (→ R. Kavuma McQueen)
    Portsmouth
  • 81'
    Substitution O. Bailey (→ J. Murphy)
    Portsmouth
  • 86'
    Substitution M. Manhoef (→ J. Devenny)
    Stoke City
  • 90+4'
    Yellow card T. Devlin
    Portsmouth

PortsmouthLast matches Portsmouth

Portsmouth are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 340% D — 20% L — 0
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth3:1SwanseaSwansea
    WChampionship · 03 Nov 2026
  • BurnleyBurnley0:0PortsmouthPortsmouth
    DChampionship · 31 Oct 2026
  • PortsmouthPortsmouth2:1MillwallMillwall
    WChampionship · 24 Oct 2026
  • WolvesWolves1:1PortsmouthPortsmouth
    DChampionship · 20 Oct 2026
  • NorwichNorwich0:1PortsmouthPortsmouth
    WChampionship · 17 Oct 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Stoke CityLast matches Stoke City

Stoke City are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.4 goals per game.

60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
  • BlackburnBlackburn1:2Stoke CityStoke City
    WChampionship · 03 Nov 2026
  • Stoke CityStoke City2:0PrestonPreston
    WChampionship · 31 Oct 2026
  • Stoke CityStoke City0:0Bristol CityBristol City
    DChampionship · 24 Oct 2026
  • DerbyDerby0:1Stoke CityStoke City
    WChampionship · 17 Oct 2026
  • Stoke CityStoke City2:3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
    LChampionship · 13 Oct 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals / game
1.4
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Stoke CityStoke City1592424-18629
2MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1484230-191128
3WolvesWolves1584326-18828
4BirminghamBirmingham1475226-131326
5SwanseaSwansea1482421-16526
6West BromWest Brom1474320-15525
7SouthamptonSouthampton1484229-141524
8West HamWest Ham1465336-211523
9Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1464420-17322
10PortsmouthPortsmouth1564520-18222
11NorwichNorwich1570832-24821
12QPRQPR1456322-17521
13MillwallMillwall1453623-24-118
14BlackburnBlackburn1453620-22-218
15WrexhamWrexham1546518-20-218
16Bristol CityBristol City1553716-24-818
17BoltonBolton1552820-29-917
18CardiffCardiff1436522-23-115
19LincolnLincoln1443714-24-1015
20WatfordWatford1442813-23-1014
21CharltonCharlton1435611-22-1114
22BurnleyBurnley1417618-26-810
23DerbyDerby1524914-30-1610
24PrestonPreston14121112-30-185
League position 10 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 1 / 24
640%Wins60%9
427%Draws13%2
533%Losses27%4
2083%Goals scored100%24
18100%Goals conceded100%18
2276%Points100%29

Season statistic Portsmouth vs Stoke City

PortsmouthPortsmouth

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 1
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 3 (0.6)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Stoke CityStoke City

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 1 / 2
  • Lost home / away 1 / 0
  • Goals scored 7 (1.4)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 3
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue Fratton Park, Portsmouth
  • Referee Ben Speedie

Lineups

PortsmouthPortsmouth · 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. N. Schmid
  2. R. Poole
  3. E. Adams
  4. M. Pack
  5. O. Bailey
  6. T. Shade
  7. T. Devlin
  8. A. Kamara
  9. A. Segecic
  10. J. Meghoma
  11. M. Dia

Bench

  1. J. Murphy
  2. D. Bielica
  3. C. Shaughnessy
  4. R. Shein
  5. Z. Swanson
  6. F. Umeh
  7. T. Waddingham
  8. E. Kenny
  9. R. Kavuma McQueen

Stoke CityStoke City · 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. B. Johnson
  2. B. Wilmot
  3. R. Boženík
  4. E. Galbraith
  5. V. Johansson
  6. J. McGlynn
  7. M. Manhoef
  8. J. Tchamadeu
  9. L. Graham
  10. B. Lawal
  11. El Hadji Djibril Soumaré

Bench

  1. G. Hirst
  2. S. Gallagher
  3. S. Ingelsson
  4. M. Talovierov
  5. J. Griffiths
  6. J. Devenny
  7. T. Rigo
  8. Bae Jun-Ho
  9. L. Bombino

Injuries and suspensions

Portsmouth

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Stoke City

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Independent match preview. Odds and availability change — confirm on the bookmaker site. 18+.

← All football predictions