League Two · Regular Season - 12

Rotherham vs Newport County Prediction

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Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xbets.bet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 18 Oct 2026Updated: 20 Oct 2026, 20:45

Match preview

I'm backing a draw between Rotherham and Newport County on 20 October 2026 at 21:45, and I expect both sides to score in a 2-2 finish. Rotherham's last ten matches show they've won just once while drawing four times and losing five, averaging under a goal per game. That defensive fragility—conceding nearly two per match—makes them vulnerable to Newport's attacking threat. Newport, meanwhile, have won three of their last ten and drawn five, posting a stronger defensive record with less than 0.8 goals conceded per outing. I see this as a match where neither team can shut the other out, and the draw is the most likely outcome.

Form and H2H

I've looked at the profit trends and they tell me something clear: backing Rotherham to win has cost money over time, while draw bets have returned value. My analysis shows Rotherham's home record is poor in the win column, but their draw trend is profitable. Newport's away form is even more interesting—their draw bets have generated significant profit, and they've conceded very few goals on the road. I expect both teams to cancel each other out here, which fits the pattern I've seen in recent weeks.

Best bet

I'm taking the draw at 3.34 on 1xBet. That's my main play because the form data supports it and because Rotherham's defensive issues combined with Newport's solid away record point to a stalemate. I'll also back Both Teams to Score at 1.7 because I'm confident both sides will find the net. My correct score prediction is 2-2, and I expect the match to stay under 4.5 goals while going over 2.5, which I can get at 1.87 on 1xBet.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap at -0.25 for Rotherham at 1.74, which gives me a way to back the home side if I want to hedge. The Over 2.5 at 1.87 is my secondary play because I believe we'll see at least three goals. I'll avoid backing Rotherham's home win at 2.03 given their recent form, and I'm staying away from the Under 2.5 at 1.86 because both teams have shown they can score.

Rotherham vs Newport County Odds

Bookmaker1X2Bet
1xBet2.113.33.32Place a bet
Best odds2.113.303.32
Average2.113.303.32
Lowest odds2.113.303.32
Compare odds

1X2 prediction for Rotherham vs Newport County

Date and time 20 October 2026 at 19:45

1X212.1144%
DC1/X72%
BTTSYes50%
1 44%X 28%2 28%

Rotherham win

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Rotherham vs Newport County Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

RotherhamRotherhamLast matchesNewport CountyNewport County
100%Over 0.5 goals80%
80%Over 1.5 goals60%
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Over 3.5 goals20%
40%BTTS60%
40%Last 5 BTTS60%

Head to Head Rotherham — Newport County

In the last 1 meetings, Newport County hold the edge — 0 wins for Rotherham, 0 for Newport County, 1 draws.

0% W — 0100% D — 10% W — 0
  • RotherhamRotherham2:2Newport CountyNewport County
    League Two · 20 Oct 2026
100%Over 0.5100%
100%Over 1.5100%
100%Over 2.5100%
100%BTTS100%
100%Rotherham over 0.5100%

Betting profits Rotherham vs Newport County

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Rotherham

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-9.41215
Match WinnerDraw+6.81615
Match WinnerLose+1.78715
Goals Over/UnderOver 2+0.691012
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2-2.70612
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-1.80715
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.21815
Goals Over/UnderOver 3+0.32714
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3-0.60914
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5+0.52515
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5-1.271015
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-0.49912
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5-0.64312
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5+6.38311
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-1.95811

Newport County

MarketOutcomeP/LWinsGames
Match WinnerWin-1.94415
Match WinnerDraw+10.97715
Match WinnerLose-8.90415
Goals Over/UnderOver 3-5.18614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3+1.491114
Goals Over/UnderOver 3.5-3.75415
Goals Over/UnderUnder 3.5+0.181115
Goals Over/UnderOver 4+1.1911
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4-1.0001
Goals Over/UnderOver 4.5-2.98212
Goals Over/UnderUnder 4.5-0.631012
Goals Over/UnderOver 1.5-1.87812
Goals Over/UnderUnder 1.5+2.66412
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5-2.97614
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2.5+1.99814
Goals Over/UnderOver 2-2.05610
Goals Over/UnderUnder 2+3.27610

Match statistics

6262%Possession %38%38
1.4443%Expected goals57%1.92
1250%Total shots50%12
556%Shots on target44%4
436%Shots off target64%7
250%Corners50%2
1853%Fouls47%16
375%Yellow cards25%1
00%Red cards0%0
39161%Passes39%248
28567%Accurate passes33%140
240%Saves60%3
267%Offsides33%1

Key events

  • 4'
    Penalty P. Mullin
    Rotherham
  • 12'
    Goal A. Nemane
    Rotherham
  • 16'
    Yellow card Jamie Jellis
    Rotherham
  • 28'
    Penalty H. Biggins
    Newport County
  • 42'
    Yellow card P. Mullin
    Rotherham
  • 42'
    Yellow card G. Garner
    Newport County
  • 45'
    Substitution Alfie Merritt (→ M. Smith)
    Newport County
  • 54'
    Goal G. Garner
    Newport County
  • 60'
    Substitution G. Garner (→ K. Etete)
    Newport County
  • 60'
    Substitution M. Adu-Poku (→ Y. Bamba)
    Newport County
  • 64'
    Substitution J. Buyabu (→ K. Lolas)
    Rotherham
  • 73'
    Substitution D. Hall (→ K. Ngwenya)
    Rotherham
  • 85'
    Substitution K. Spence (→ T. Bradshaw)
    Rotherham
  • 89'
    Yellow card H. Douglas
    Rotherham

RotherhamLast matches Rotherham

Rotherham have not won in the last 5 matches (1 draws, 4 losses).

0% W — 020% D — 180% L — 4
  • Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town2:0RotherhamRotherham
    LLeague Two · 17 Oct 2026
  • RotherhamRotherham1:4GillinghamGillingham
    LLeague Two · 10 Oct 2026
  • RotherhamRotherham0:4BradfordBradford
    LEFL Trophy · 06 Oct 2026
  • Exeter CityExeter City1:0RotherhamRotherham
    LLeague Two · 03 Oct 2026
  • RotherhamRotherham1:1CreweCrewe
    DLeague Two · 26 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals / game
0.4
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
40%

Newport CountyLast matches Newport County

In the last 5 matches Newport County have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. BTTS landed in 60% of those games.

40% W — 260% D — 30% L — 0
  • Newport CountyNewport County1:1YorkYork
    DLeague Two · 17 Oct 2026
  • Newport CountyNewport County1:0ColchesterColchester
    WLeague Two · 10 Oct 2026
  • Newport CountyNewport County2:2PlymouthPlymouth
    DEFL Trophy · 06 Oct 2026
  • GillinghamGillingham0:0Newport CountyNewport County
    DLeague Two · 03 Oct 2026
  • Newport CountyNewport County2:1GrimsbyGrimsby
    WLeague Two · 26 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches
5
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0
Goals / game
1.2
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS
60%

Rotherham vs Newport County Standings

#TeamMPWDLGDiffPts
1Salford CitySalford City1171317-11622
2BarnetBarnet963022-121021
3CreweCrewe1156015-9621
4YorkYork1044218-12616
5WalsallWalsall1037013-7616
6GillinghamGillingham1144316-13316
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1143417-15215
8CheltenhamCheltenham1143417-20-315
9Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1150615-18-315
10Accrington STAccrington ST1135316-15114
11Newport CountyNewport County1135314-13114
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1135312-11114
13RochdaleRochdale1142513-15-214
14ShrewsburyShrewsbury1142510-15-514
15GrimsbyGrimsby1134413-13013
16Exeter CityExeter City113446-6013
17TranmereTranmere1126314-15-112
18Swindon TownSwindon Town1133510-15-512
19OldhamOldham1032513-14-111
20ColchesterColchester1025310-13-311
21Port ValePort Vale93245-9-411
22NorthamptonNorthampton92436-7-110
23RotherhamRotherham1124512-18-610
24Crawley TownCrawley Town91269-17-85
League position 23 / 24Comparative team statisticsLeague position 11 / 24
218%Wins27%3
436%Draws45%5
545%Losses27%3
1286%Goals scored100%14
18100%Goals conceded72%13
1071%Points100%14

Season statistic Rotherham vs Newport County

RotherhamRotherham

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 0 / 0
  • Lost home / away 2 / 2
  • Goals scored 2 (0.4)
  • Goals conceded 12 (2.4)
  • Clean sheets 0
  • Failed to score 3

Newport CountyNewport County

  • Matches played 5
  • Won home / away 2 / 0
  • Lost home / away 0 / 0
  • Goals scored 6 (1.2)
  • Goals conceded 4 (0.8)
  • Clean sheets 2
  • Failed to score 1

Match details

  • Status Finished
  • Venue New York Stadium, Rotherham

Lineups

RotherhamRotherham · 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. A. Nemane
  2. P. Mullin
  3. D. Iorfa
  4. J. Rafferty
  5. D. Hall
  6. K. Spence
  7. Jamie Jellis
  8. Jayce Fitzgerald
  9. J. Eyestone
  10. J. Buyabu
  11. H. Douglas

Bench

  1. K. Lolas
  2. T. Bradshaw
  3. J. Austerfield
  4. T. Cann
  5. Brandon Ashley Cover
  6. K. Ngwenya
  7. Sonny Aljofree

Newport CountyNewport County · 3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. M. Adu-Poku
  2. Alfie Merritt
  3. H. Biggins
  4. G. Garner
  5. C. Norman
  6. L. Jenkins
  7. K. Cameron
  8. J. Wright
  9. C. Brennan
  10. M. Dibley-Dias
  11. Joe Thomas

Bench

  1. K. Etete
  2. M. Smith
  3. S. MacDonald
  4. C. Evans
  5. K. Evans
  6. D. Sassi
  7. Y. Bamba

Injuries and suspensions

Rotherham

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

Newport County

No absences listed for this fixture yet.

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