I'm backing Stoke City to win 2-1 at home on 24 October 2026 at 17:00. Stoke have won six of their last ten matches and are scoring 1.70 goals per game over that run, which is solid for the Championship. Bristol City arrive with a weaker away record: five wins in ten, and they're averaging just 1.20 goals scored on the road. I see Stoke's home form and Bristol's defensive fragility as the edge here.
Form and H2H
I've looked at the head-to-head and it's mixed. Bristol won two of the last four meetings, but Stoke took the most recent clash 2-0 in April 2021. What I focus on is the current form: Stoke concede 1.20 per game at home, while Bristol concede 1.10 away. I'm not reading too much into the H2H noise when the underlying metrics favour Stoke's attacking output and defensive solidity right now.
Best bet
I'm taking Stoke City to win at 2.28 on 1xBet. That's my main play. I also like Over 2.5 Goals at 1.89 because both teams have the firepower to breach each other, and my prediction of a 2-1 scoreline sits comfortably in that range. Both Teams to Score at 1.69 is another angle I'd consider given Bristol's attacking threat on the road, even if they're the underdog here.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Stoke at 1.92, which gives me a safety net if the match ends level. The away handicap at 2.48 is too long for my liking. On the goal markets, I'll track Over 2.5 at 1.89 and Under 2.5 at 1.85, though I prefer the over given Stoke's scoring rate and Bristol's leaky defence. Both Teams to Score Yes is 1.69, and I expect both sides to find the net in this one.

