I'm backing Ulsan Hyundai to win this one, and their ninth-place position in K League 1 is exactly why. This is a five-time national champion that won the title in 2024, now fighting relegation pressure where every dropped point stings. That kind of desperation breeds results. Pohang Steelers arrive as the away side with a soft attacking record—0.70 goals per game over their last ten—and I see Ulsan's hunger as the decisive edge here.
Ulsan's defence has leaked 8 goals in their last six matches, which concerns me, but their recent 2-1 win over Bucheon FK showed their attack still functions. Lee Jin-hyeon and Yago Cariello scored in that win, and I need to see that pattern repeat if Ulsan are to climb out of the drop zone. Pohang average just 1.40 goals conceded per game away from home, so I'm not expecting a rout, but I am expecting Ulsan to find the net first and hold it.
Form and H2H
I've studied the head-to-head record and it tilts heavily in Ulsan's favour. Of their last six meetings, Ulsan won four times, including a 3-1 victory in December 2018 and a 2-0 shutout in September 2018. Pohang's wins came in 2019 and early 2018, so the momentum belongs to Ulsan. I'm confident in that historical pattern.
Over their last ten games, Ulsan average 1.50 goals for and 1.50 against—a balanced record that masks their recent instability. Pohang, meanwhile, score just 0.70 per game away and concede 1.40, which tells me they travel poorly. I expect Ulsan to exploit that weakness at home on 24 October 2026 at 08:00.
Best bet
I'm taking Ulsan Hyundai to win at 1.93 on 1xBet. That price reflects genuine uncertainty, but I see a team with championship pedigree fighting for survival against a visiting side that cannot score on the road. Pohang's away form is the soft spot I'm targeting, and Ulsan's recent attacking output gives me confidence they'll break through.
I'll also consider the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Ulsan at 1.66 if I want to tighten my margin. That price is steeper but it protects me against a draw, which I think is unlikely given Ulsan's need to win. Both Teams Score at 1.64 is tempting given Pohang's defensive record, but I prefer the straight home win for value.
Odds to watch
I'm monitoring Over 2.5 at 1.74 on 1xBet. Ulsan average 1.50 goals per game at home and Pohang concede 1.40 away, so three goals across both sides feels tight but possible. Under 2.5 sits at 2.02, which I find more likely given Pohang's attacking poverty, but I won't force it.
The 1X2 line reads 1.93 for Ulsan, 3.62 for the draw, and 3.64 for Pohang. I'm comfortable with Ulsan at 1.93 as my primary play. If I want to hedge, Both Teams Score No at 2.13 pairs well with a Ulsan win, since I expect them to control the match and limit Pohang's chances.

