I'm backing Vasco da Gama to win this semifinal second leg on 21 October 2026 at 03:30. They hold the advantage after Adson's 24th-minute goal gave them a 1-0 away win at La Bombonera, and now they can control the tempo at the Maracanã. Boca need to win by two clear goals to avoid penalties, or they're out of the Copa Sudamericana. That asymmetry tilts the match heavily in Vasco's favor. I see a closed, tactical knockout tie where the home team's fresh legs and defensive discipline will suffocate Boca's attack.
CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Semi-finals
Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Prediction
Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2.74 | 3.26 | 2.86 | Place a bet |
| Best odds | 2.74 | 3.26 | 2.86 | |
| Average | 2.74 | 3.26 | 2.86 | |
| Lowest odds | 2.74 | 3.26 | 2.86 |
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1X2 prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors
Date and time 21 October 2026 at 01:30
1 36%X 30%2 34%
Vasco DA Gama win
Place a bet on this matchVasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Odds statistic
Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.
Vasco DA GamaLast matches
Boca JuniorsHead to Head Vasco DA Gama — Boca Juniors
In the last 1 meetings, Vasco DA Gama hold the edge — 1 wins for Vasco DA Gama, 0 for Boca Juniors, 0 draws.
100% W — 10% D — 00% W — 0
- CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 14 Oct 2026Boca Juniors0:1Vasco DA Gama
Betting profits Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors
Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.
Vasco DA Gama
| Market | Outcome | P/L | Wins | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | Win | +6.35 | 9 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Draw | -6.21 | 2 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Lose | -4.62 | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 | -3.10 | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1.5 | +3.91 | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2 | -1.74 | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2 | -0.81 | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 | -0.91 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2.5 | -1.14 | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3 | +3.08 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3 | -1.54 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3.5 | -0.46 | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 | -0.73 | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4.5 | +3.96 | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4.5 | -1.04 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 0.5 | -0.86 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 0.5 | +3.65 | 1 | 2 |
Boca Juniors
| Market | Outcome | P/L | Wins | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | Win | -1.45 | 8 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Draw | +3.46 | 6 | 15 |
| Match Winner | Lose | -10.93 | 1 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 0.5 | +1.14 | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 0.5 | -9.00 | 0 | 9 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 1.5 | +1.04 | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 1.5 | -4.58 | 4 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2 | +0.72 | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2 | -3.29 | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 2.5 | +0.68 | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 2.5 | -3.08 | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3.5 | +4.91 | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3.5 | -2.25 | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 3 | +4.77 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 3 | -2.71 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Over/Under | Over 4.5 | -3.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Over/Under | Under 4.5 | +0.35 | 3 | 3 |
Match statistics
In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.
Last matches Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game.
60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
- LSerie A · 18 Oct 2026
Sao Paulo1:0Vasco DA Gama - WCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 14 Oct 2026Boca Juniors0:1Vasco DA Gama
- DSerie A · 10 Oct 2026Vasco DA Gama0:0
remo - WSerie A · 08 Oct 2026
Botafogo1:2Vasco DA Gama - WSerie A · 20 Sept 2026Vasco DA Gama5:0
Coritiba
Statistics for the last 5 games
- Matches
- 5
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals / game
- 1.6
- Over 1.5
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 40%
- BTTS
- 20%
Last matches Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors are in a strong run: 3 wins in the last 5 matches, scoring 2.0 goals per game.
60% W — 320% D — 120% L — 1
- WLiga Profesional Argentina · 17 Oct 2026Boca Juniors2:1
Talleres Cordoba - LCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 14 Oct 2026Boca Juniors0:1Vasco DA Gama
- DLiga Profesional Argentina · 09 Oct 2026
Instituto Cordoba2:2Boca Juniors - WLiga Profesional Argentina · 03 Oct 2026Boca Juniors3:0
Union Santa Fe - WCopa Argentina · 27 Sept 2026
Racing Club2:3Boca Juniors
Statistics for the last 5 games
- Matches
- 5
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals / game
- 2.0
- Over 1.5
- 80%
- Over 2.5
- 80%
- BTTS
- 60%
Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | Diff | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6-3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8-5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 |  America de Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6-5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Alianza Atletico | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2-9 | -7 | 2 |
| 1 |  Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8-6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10-7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6-9 | -3 | 7 |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6-1 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 |  O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8-6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7-7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5-12 | -7 | 3 |
| 1 |  Deportivo Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6-5 | 1 | 8 |
| 2 |  Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8-6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 |  San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6-5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | -4 | 6 |
| 1 | Botafogo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15-5 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Caracas FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9-9 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11-9 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 |  Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3-15 | -12 | 0 |
| 1 |  Atletico Torque | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11-5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8-3 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | -6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | -5 | 3 |
| 1 |  Olimpia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10-6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco DA Gama | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10-6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 |  A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7-9 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | -6 | 3 |
| 1 |  River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9-3 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 |  RB Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12-5 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 |  Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6-5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3-17 | -14 | 1 |
Comparative team statistics
Season statistic Vasco DA Gama vs Boca Juniors
Vasco DA Gama
- Matches played 5
- Won home / away 1 / 2
- Lost home / away 0 / 1
- Goals scored 8 (1.6)
- Goals conceded 2 (0.4)
- Clean sheets 3
- Failed to score 2
Boca Juniors
- Matches played 5
- Won home / away 2 / 1
- Lost home / away 1 / 0
- Goals scored 10 (2.0)
- Goals conceded 6 (1.2)
- Clean sheets 1
- Failed to score 1
Match details
- Status Match Finished
- Venue Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
- Referee Jesus Valenzuela
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.
Boca Juniors
Lineups are usually published 30–60 minutes before kick-off.
Injuries and suspensions
Vasco DA Gama
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
Boca Juniors
No absences listed for this fixture yet.
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