I'm backing Dinamo Zagreb to win this Europa League tie on 15 October 2026 at 22:00. Dinamo have the edge at home and Anderlecht arrive weakened in defence. The Belgian side lost their opener to Lyon 1-2 and now travel to a Zagreb side that has won five straight league matches at the Maksimir. Dinamo drew 0-0 in their Europa League opener against Hapoel Beer-Sheva, so they're hungry for a win. Anderlecht showed character to beat Cercle Brugge 2-1 last time out, but that came after trailing until the 86th minute. I see Dinamo's home advantage and attacking threat as decisive here.
Form and H2H
I've studied the recent records closely. Dinamo won five of their last ten matches at home, drawing two and losing three, averaging 2.1 goals for and 1.4 against. Anderlecht won seven of their last ten away from home, drew one and lost two, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.6 against. On paper Anderlecht's away form looks solid, but I'm not convinced it holds up here. The head-to-head tells me Dinamo have the measure of this opponent. In October 2018, Dinamo won 2-0 at Anderlecht's ground. They drew 0-0 at home later that year. I expect Dinamo to impose themselves this time.
Best bet
I'm taking Dinamo Zagreb to win at 2.02 on 1xBet. That price reflects the uncertainty around how Anderlecht will cope without Julien Bianconi, their centre-back who is still recovering from a hamstring injury. Kaïs Barri, aged 20, made his debut in defence against Cercle Brugge. I see Dinamo's attack, led by Dion Bello who missed the opener but scored 12 goals and six assists in 13 matches this season, as too sharp for a makeshift back line. Bello had a chance to score twice against Hajduk in the league and will be sharper here. I'm confident in the home win.
Odds to watch
I'll also monitor Over 2.5 at 1.75 on 1xBet. Dinamo's last six matches across all competitions have seen at least three goals in five of them. Anderlecht's last three official matches also landed three or more goals. With Dinamo's attack strengthened by Bello's return and Anderlecht's defence stretched thin, I expect goals. Both Teams Score at 1.59 is another angle I'm tracking. The Asian Handicap -0.25 for Dinamo at 1.75 gives me a cleaner entry if I want to shade the home side without the full odds swing.















