Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction

- : -16 October 2026 at 19:00Netherlands

Sports betting from our team of predictorsAiden Brooks

Aiden Brooks is a Liverpool-based sports journalist and lead writer for 1xBet. He follows all the world's sports news, specialising in detailed analysis of matches and tournaments. Proficient in sports betting, utilising a comprehensive approach to prediction. He is a passionate football fan and regularly covers Premier League matches. He also enjoys tennis and boxing, which helps him to create versatile content for the betting platform.

Created: 15 Oct 2026Updated: 15 Oct 2026, 20:38

Match preview

I'm backing Excelsior not to lose on 16 October 2026 at 21:00. Heerenveen create chances but rarely finish them at home, while the visitors have won five of their last ten away matches and haven't lost on the road. Excelsior's defensive lapses showed in a 1-5 hammering from Groningen, but that's an outlier. Against Ajax and Willem II they've proven they can adjust tactically, defending compactly when needed and hitting on the counter when they get space. I see Heerenveen's problem as precision, not creativity. They've scored just three times in four home games despite generating moments against strong sides. Excelsior's issue is sharper—they can collapse defensively—but their away record suggests they've learned to manage that risk.

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Odds

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Bet
	1.71	4.04	4.74	Place a bet
Best odds	1.71	4.04	4.74
Average	1.71	4.04	4.74
Lowest odds	1.71	4.04	4.74

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1X2 prediction for Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Date and time 16 October 2026 at 19:00

1X211.7156%

DC1/X80%

BTTSYes60%

1 56%X 24%2 20%

Heerenveen win

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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Odds statistic

Average rates from the last stored matches for each team.

HeerenveenLast matchesExcelsior

80%Over 0.5 goals100%

80%Over 1.5 goals100%

60%Over 2.5 goals100%

60%Over 3.5 goals60%

40%BTTS80%

40%Last 5 BTTS80%

Head to Head Heerenveen — Excelsior

In the last 8 meetings, Heerenveen hold the edge — 5 wins for Heerenveen, 2 for Excelsior, 1 draws.

63% W — 513% D — 125% W — 2

Excelsior1:2Heerenveen
Eredivisie · 07 Mar 2026
Heerenveen2:1Excelsior
Eredivisie · 04 Oct 2025
Excelsior3:0Heerenveen
Eredivisie · 19 Jan 2024
Heerenveen0:3Excelsior
Eredivisie · 23 Sept 2023
Heerenveen0:0Excelsior
Eredivisie · 13 May 2023
Excelsior0:1Heerenveen
Eredivisie · 05 Nov 2022
Heerenveen3:1Excelsior
Friendlies Clubs · 30 Jul 2022
Excelsior0:3Heerenveen
KNVB Beker · 30 Oct 2019

88%Over 0.588%

75%Over 1.575%

75%Over 2.575%

38%BTTS38%

63%Heerenveen over 0.563%

Betting profits Heerenveen vs Excelsior

Historical P/L if you backed each side on the main markets in their recent matches.

Heerenveen

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	-1.03	4	13
Match Winner	Draw	+5.11	4	13
Match Winner	Lose	+0.14	5	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	-2.01	7	10
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	+10.14	3	10
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	-3.29	6	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	+7.29	6	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	-0.78	7	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-0.34	5	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+1.05	7	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-1.35	6	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-0.29	4	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-0.62	9	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	+0.86	4	7
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	-0.77	4	7

Excelsior

Market	Outcome	P/L	Wins	Games
Match Winner	Win	+3.79	7	13
Match Winner	Draw	+2.01	3	13
Match Winner	Lose	-5.63	3	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 1.5	+1.61	9	9
Goals Over/Under	Under 1.5	-9.00	0	9
Goals Over/Under	Over 2.5	+5.17	11	12
Goals Over/Under	Under 2.5	-9.72	1	12
Goals Over/Under	Over 3	+5.01	10	11
Goals Over/Under	Under 3	-5.17	5	11
Goals Over/Under	Over 3.5	+5.29	8	13
Goals Over/Under	Under 3.5	-4.78	5	13
Goals Over/Under	Over 4.5	-0.89	3	11
Goals Over/Under	Under 4.5	-0.84	8	11
Goals Over/Under	Over 4	+1.45	4	5
Goals Over/Under	Under 4	-1.40	3	5
Goals Over/Under	Over 2	+0.33	1	1
Goals Over/Under	Under 2	-1.00	0	1

Match statistics

In-play and full-time match stats appear after kick-off.

Last matches Heerenveen

In the last 5 matches Heerenveen have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 40% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2

PSV Eindhoven2:0Heerenveen
LEredivisie · 09 Oct 2026
Sparta Rotterdam0:4Heerenveen
WEredivisie · 19 Sept 2026
Heerenveen0:0Telstar
DEredivisie · 13 Sept 2026
Heerenveen2:3AZ Alkmaar
LEredivisie · 06 Sept 2026
Willem II2:2Heerenveen
DEredivisie · 30 Aug 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 1
Draws: 2
Losses: 2
Goals / game: 1.6
Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 40%

Last matches Excelsior

In the last 5 matches Excelsior have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. BTTS landed in 80% of those games.

20% W — 140% D — 240% L — 2

Excelsior1:5Groningen
LEredivisie · 11 Oct 2026
Ajax2:2Excelsior
DEredivisie · 19 Sept 2026
Excelsior1:2Utrecht
LEredivisie · 13 Sept 2026
NEC Nijmegen2:2Excelsior
DEredivisie · 08 Sept 2026
Willem II0:3Excelsior
WEredivisie · 05 Sept 2026

Statistics for the last 5 games

Matches: 5
Wins: 1
Draws: 2
Losses: 2
Goals / game: 1.8
Over 1.5: 100%
Over 2.5: 100%
BTTS: 80%

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Standings

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	Diff	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27-7	20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	26-10	16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18-8	10	19
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16-8	8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22-10	12	15
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	20-14	6	14
7	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14-15	-1	14
8	GO Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19-17	2	11
9	Excelsior	8	3	2	3	16-14	2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11-11	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	13-14	-1	9
12	Cambuur	8	2	2	4	11-19	-8	8
13	Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14-25	-11	8
14	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	13-20	-7	6
15	Telstar	8	1	3	4	7-14	-7	6
16	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6-21	-15	4
17	ADO Den Haag	8	0	3	5	9-19	-10	3
18	Willem II	8	0	2	6	7-23	-16	2