Newport County vs York Prediction

I'm backing Newport County to win 2-1 at home to York on 17 October 2026 at 17:00. Newport have won three of their last ten matches and concede less than a goal per game on average, which matters against a York side that scores regularly but leaks chances. York have won just three of their last ten and average 1.6 goals for but 1.3 against, so they're vulnerable on the road. I see Newport's home record and defensive solidity as the edge here.

Form and H2H

Newport's last ten shows three wins, five draws, and two losses, averaging 1.1 goals for and 0.9 against. I'm encouraged by that defensive floor. York have three wins, four draws, and three losses in the same span, scoring 1.6 per game but conceding 1.3, which tells me they're leaky at the back. The head-to-head is mixed: Newport won 3-0 in 2013 and 3-1 in 2014, but York took 2-0 victories in 2012 and 2015, and a 3-0 win in 2015. I don't see a clear pattern, but Newport's recent form at home is the stronger signal.

Best bet

I'm taking Newport County 2-1 York City as my main play. Both teams to score at 1.61 on 1xBet appeals to me because York score on the road and Newport concede the odd goal, so I expect goals at both ends. I'll also look at Over 2.5 at 1.69, which fits my 2-1 read perfectly. The home win at 3.6 is the foundation, but I like the BTTS angle to boost the return without overextending into unrealistic scorelines.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring the Asian Handicap -0.25 for Newport at 3.02 on 1xBet, which gives me a push if they draw and profit if they win. The Over 2.5 at 1.69 is my secondary play because I expect at least three goals in this match. I'll avoid the home win alone at 3.6 and instead pair it with BTTS yes at 1.61 to get better value. York's away record is poor enough that I don't need to chase long odds on a draw or upset.