Real Sociedad II vs Almeria Prediction

I'm backing Almeria to win 1-2 at Real Sociedad B on 17 October 2026 at 15:00. Real Sociedad II have won three of their last ten but conceded 2.1 goals per game over that stretch, and Almeria arrive as the Segunda División form team. Almeria have won eight of their last ten matches and given up less than half a goal per game. The away side's defensive record is the decisive edge here.

I've watched Real Sociedad II leak chances consistently. Their home record shows five losses in the last ten, and I see that pattern continuing against an Almeria side that scores nearly two per game. This is a mismatch in defensive solidity.

Form and H2H

I'm struck by Almeria's recent dominance in this fixture. They beat Real Sociedad II 5-1 in March 2026, and before that won 2-0 in May 2022. Real Sociedad II managed a 2-2 draw in August 2025, but that's their only result that didn't end in defeat across the last four meetings. I see a clear pattern of Almeria control.

My read of the head-to-head tells me Real Sociedad II struggle to contain Almeria's attack. The away side's eight wins in ten matches this season, combined with their 0.5 goals conceded per game, suggests I should expect a disciplined performance from the visitors. Real Sociedad II's defensive frailty makes them vulnerable to exactly the kind of ruthless finishing Almeria have shown.

Best bet

I'm taking Almeria to win at 2.03 on 1xBet. That price undervalues a team that has won eight of ten and concedes almost nothing. Real Sociedad II's home form is poor, and I expect Almeria to control this match from start to finish.

I'll also back Both Teams to Score at 1.57. Real Sociedad II have conceded in nine of their last ten, and Almeria's attacking output means I'm confident both sides find the net. The 1-2 scoreline I've predicted sits neatly within that framework, and I see value in the combination of an away win and goals at both ends.

Odds to watch

I'm monitoring Over 2.5 Goals at 1.72 on 1xBet. My prediction of 1-2 sits exactly at that line, and I think the match goes over. Almeria's attacking threat combined with Real Sociedad II's defensive leaks means I expect at least three goals.

I'd also track the Asian Handicap Away -0.25 at 1.68. That's a tight margin, but Almeria's form and Real Sociedad II's home struggles make the away side the safer pick at that price. The correct score of 1-2 lands comfortably within that handicap, and I see Almeria winning by a single goal as the most likely outcome.